Thursday, 23 July 2015

BOG forecast

A blog reader has asked me how to place a BOG (best odds guaranteed) forecast.

As far as I am aware Bet365 is the only company that offers this. Simply go to the Bet365 "Forecast" section which appears directly under the relevant race card. Tick BOTH 1st and 2nd against your selections, then click "Add To Bet Slip". The forecasts on the bet slip will show the guaranteed odds for each forecast.

In yesterday's Sandown race both my selections were 11/2 and thus the Bet365 BOG forecast dividends were the same: 35.42. Had Macdillon and Pucon been backed into, say, 5/1 each the SP forecast dividend would have been around the 30.00 mark but we would have been guaranteed the higher dividend of 35.42.

As it turned out Macdillon started at 5/1 but Pucon surprisingly drifted to 7/1. The SP forecast paid 39.00 and this is what Bet365 paid out - as did any other bookmaker where you stipulated a SP forecast.

Our return on the Sandown race is thus 13 points on Macdillon win and 19.5 points on the 0.5 point forecast. Total return 32.5 points, profit on the race 27.5 points. (Four points loss at Leicester).

No bets today.

Sent from my iPad mini

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