Friday, 30 September 2011

Prix de l'Arc de Triomphe

Another terrific race is in prospect and as usual there are sure to be be plenty of hard luck stories in what is a large competitive field. It's possible that Sunday's sorry tales could include one or both of the current market leaders: So You Think (drawn 14) and Sarafina (drawn 13). History shows that double-digit drawn horses are disadvantaged. As a result I am going to oppose these top contenders with two well-draw horses. Both my selections should enjoy the good ground which is forecast to firm up in the next 48-hours. I have had 2pts win Masked Marvel (drawn 5) @ 14/1 with William Hill (bog). Sure to get every yard of the trip in what could be a fast run race. Watch the PMU odds as he could start a bigger price in Paris. Also 1pt win Hiruno D'Amour (drawn 1) @ 14/1 with Ladbrokes (bog). Ran a good prep race behind Sarafina in Prix Foy on 11 Sept, his first race since May. Unlikely to be better odds on PMU because of fanatical on-course Japanese support. Total staked 3pts.

Tuesday, 27 September 2011

X Factor

We have it on reasonable authority this morning that Dublin girl Melanie McCabe has reached the live stage of X-factor. Therefore I have had 3pts win @ 14/1 Melanie to win X-factor with William Hill. 

Monday, 26 September 2011

Champions' League

The difficulty in placing bets at advertised prices continues. Today I decided to place 4pts each-way on Bayern Munich for the Champions' League @ 14/1 (1/2 odds 1,2). I have divided my stakes amongst Ladbrokes, Stan James, and skybet. 

In the Bundesliga Bayern Munich started with a shock 1-0 defeat at home (Aug 7). Since then they are 6/6 in the league with 21 goals scored and none conceded. In their three Champions' L matches (inc. premliminary rounds) they are 3/3 with five goals scored and none conceded. Therefore 26 scored none conceded in all nine matches since the defeat.

Bets on now, total stake 8pts.

Full record of bets posted here: