Thursday, 21 May 2015

Premiership relegation

Hull moved a step nearer relegation when Sunderland made themselves safe by getting a point at Arsenal last night. Now only Hull or Newcastle can fill the final spot. Much as I dislike the Newcastle set up my preference of course will be for Hull to go down.

I'm not going to advise a hedge on Newcastle because unfortunately the Hull 7/2 advice was not substantial. However if you've had a decent bet on Hull to go down you could save your stake on Newcastle @ 6.4 currently available with Betfair.

I can't remember the last time I was cheering for Man U but that will be the case Sunday!

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Tuesday, 19 May 2015

Nottingham

No good yesterday. One race at Nottingham today:

14:30N 2pts win 1pt place Moon River @ 11/1 Betfred BOG
14:30N 1pt ew Mountain Man @ 8/1 Coral BOG

Five points staked.

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Monday, 18 May 2015

Leicester tonight

The Kevin Ryan stable is in fine form. He had four winners (12/1, 9/1, 8/1 and 7/1) from his nine runners over the weekend. I'm siding with Cyril in the 19:45 Leicester. The field is down to six runners as I write but 5/1 might be a bit of value here: 

19:45L 2pts win Cyril @ 5/1 William Hill BOG
19:45L 1pt win Berland @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

Three points staked.

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Saturday, 16 May 2015

Results/Saturday football

No bets for me today. Yesterday's selections at Hamilton finished third and fourth. Bognor was backed from 8/1 taken to 5/1 but was out of the money. Tectonic snatched third place from the latter and was returned 14/1. Thus BOG kicked in and the return on the race was 5.7 points from six points staked so no damaged done.

It's the fag end of the football season as far as my domestic bets are concerned. The chances of any returns are encapsulated in one of today's fixtures: Tottenham v Hull. I had high hopes for Tottenham finishing in the top four with Harry Kane on fire. With two matches to go the north London side are struggling and Harry can no longer score it seems. Top four aspirations are long gone and we are relying on Harry hanging on to second place in the goal scorer charts for an ew return (16/1 ew 1/3 odds 1,2). This would seem to be dependant on whether Costa plays again for Chelsea this season. He is only one goal (19 so far) behind the youngster. Austin is on 17, so would need a minimum of three in QPR's two remaining games, whereas Sanchez (16), has three more opportunities for Arsenal to bridge the gap including what seem comparatively easy home fixtures against strugglers West Brom and Sunderland.

Hull (7/2) was a relegation pick based on the difficulty of their run-in with ten matches to play. One of those difficult fixtures was Liverpool, who they beat and one of the few "easy" games was Burnley to whom they lost at home. Despite the Liverpool triumph they are odds-on to fill the remaining relegation spot. I would not enjoy the irony of a Hull win at White Heart Lane and a blank day for Harry!

All of the above would be forgotten if Juve could somehow beat Barcelona in Berlin on 6 June!

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Friday, 15 May 2015

Hamilton 18:55

I've been waiting to see if there was going to be any non-runners in the third race at Hamilton. I fancy taking on the market leaders with two selections - including ew -  and therefore hope that eight runners stand their ground. My bets are:

18:55H 2pts win 1pt place Bognor @ 8/1 Betfred BOG
18:55H 1.5pts ew Tectonic @ 10/1 Betfred BOG

Six points staked.

Here's hoping there are no non-runners!

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Thursday, 14 May 2015

Chester visit

No bets today. Good result last night with Juventus making the final of the CL. At least it means a winning tournament with the ew part of the (February) Juventus bet landed. Free hit at Barca now. Let's hope Messi has an off day!

Last week I went to Chester races for the first time. If you'd like to see how it went you can read my article here:

Chester


Wednesday, 13 May 2015

Real Madrid v Juventus

I will of course be cheering on Juventus to go through to the CL final tonight and reward my ew bet on the Italians. Despite prevailing 2-1 in the first leg RM are the favourites to progress to the final. Juve need a draw (or a win) tonight. I have a horrible feeling the Italians might try and play for the 0-0 and come unstuck. That would be horrible. I've had a small correct score bet as follows:

1pt Real Madrid to win 1-0 @ 9.0 betfair exchange (8.6 after commission).

You could consider 7/1 with WH, money back as a free bet if match finishes 0-0. 

Obviously if RM win by another score I'm done for. (2-1 RM would mean extra time though). 

Here's hoping Juve can get a draw and go through....

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