Wednesday, 28 January 2015

AFCON matches

Poor results at the Aussie Open. Unlike last year when we had Stan in the mix @ 50/1. So a very poor start to the year - some 24 points down. Still I should not be thinking about that rather the fact that the overall profit is 1,523 points (from 1,547 at the year end.)

I will be having bets on the AFCON starting with this Saturday's matches.  Here are the first two matches I have played:

16:00 Congo v DR Congo 6 pts the draw @ 2/1  Betfred 
16:00 Congo v DR Congo 2 pts 0-0 draw @ 5/1 Betfred

19:00 Tunisia v Eq Guinea 6 pts the draw @ 11/5 Betfred
19:00 Tunisia v Eq Guinea 2 pts 0-0 draw @ 11/2 Betfred

Betfred are offering a free bet refund on correct score bets (up to £50 - singles only - on certain televised matches including the two above in the event of  a 1-1 draw). As I think the most likely outcome is 0-0 or 1-1 for these matches that is why I have played as above)

So here's hoping for some extremely tedious sport on Saturday.

Total stake 16 points.

Monday, 26 January 2015

Wimbledon ladies

Venus is right in there with a shout at the Aussie Open now although chances are she will face her sister in the semi if she gets past her young compatriot Keys. I have followed up with a small Wimbledon wager as follows:

1pt ew Venus Williams to win Wimbledon ladies' singles @ 66/1 Bet365  (1/2 1,2)

Take 50/1 with skybet if you cannot get a bet with Bet365


Friday, 23 January 2015

Tennis and football

Can't believe how badly my horse selections ran yesterday. Looks like it will be "bread and point" this weekend as my father used to say...

Switched sports for my next bets. 

TENNIS

I was impressed with Vika's performance yesterday - a comfortable 6-4 6-2 win over Woza. She looked to be back to her best with no trace of the injury problems which so badly affected her in 2014 and resulted in her ranking slipping to 44 in the world. She is playing even more aggressively than usual - if that's possible - with increased net play. Let's not forget she has won this tournament twice in the last three years so clearly loves Australia.

In contrast I've been unimpressed with Serena Williams not only here but in the warm up tournaments too. She is 0-2 against top ten players this year having already lost to Radwanska and Bouchard. 

Serena v Vika could be a quarter-final. We already have an interest in Vika reaching the semis (8/1) however I've now backed her to win the tournament at the widely available 10/1:

2 pts Victoria Azarenka to win Aussie Open @ 10/1 Betfred


FOOTBALL 

We have four outright bets in the FA CUP however I've just added some match bets. The following ties look very tight so consequently I've played the draw in each match:

12:45 Sat 1.5 pts Blackburn v Swansea to draw FA Cup match @ 5/2 Bet365
15:00 Sat 1.5 pts Birmingham v West Brom to draw FA Cup match @ 5/2 Bet365
16:00 Sun 1.5 pts Brighton v Asenal to draw FA Cup match @ 10/3 Bet365
0.5 pt treble above three draws at the prices. 

Football total stake 5 pts, one draw would return a minimum 5.25 pts.

Sent from my iPad 

Wednesday, 21 January 2015

Chelmsford City

I've rather surprised myself by studying tomorrow's card from the Essex venue. 

Indeed I've had a couple of speculative plays as follows:


17:40 CC 2 pts win Viva Verglas @ 7/1 Coral BOG 

18:10 CC 1.5 pts win Clearing @ 7/1 Coral BOG

0.5 pt ew double the above two at the prices. 

Total 4.5 pts staked. 
 
 

Tuesday, 20 January 2015

FA Cup preview

It's back to the FA Cup this weekend. Fortunately my portfolio of four teams has made it through to the fourth round. Two of the teams had to survive replays: Southampton winning 1-0 at Ipswich and Small Sam's Wham scraping through 9-8 on penalties against Everton.

Two or three good things came out of the fourth round draw. My four teams avoided each other and they also avoided the so called big four/five: Chelsea, Man City, Man U, Arsenal and Liverpool. The bad news is that these five teams also avoided each other - which was disappointing.

Three of my four selections will play away - albeit against lower league opposition. The other team, Southampton, entertain Crystal Palace. So on paper all four are bookmaker favourites to go through, so here's hoping.....

If we do well in the fourth round but the market leaders progress let's hope for Man City v Chelsea and Man U v Arsenal to be pulled out of the hat - that would shake things up a bit!

Sent from my iPad

Monday, 19 January 2015

Del Potro non-runner

If you followed me in with a bet for Del Potro to win the first quarter men's singles with Skybet the stakes should be refunded as he did not take part. My bet has not as yet been settled and I guess it may not be until the semi final places are known.

I have also checked both Paddy Power and Boyles' websites and it would appear that they operate the same rule.

Saturday, 17 January 2015

JMD Potro update

Boyles just put up 25/1 first quarter. Can't last. Would only lay me 78p.