Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Richard Hughes

Hughes has landed my 8 pts @ 5/2 wager placed back in August. Although the flat season has not yet finished, RLM has declared he will have no more domestic rides this term. All major bookmakers have paid out on RH - including Coral.

This 20 pts profit has increased the calendar year profits to 136 pts or 31%.

It has been a low staking year compared to 2012/3 for reasons already explained. Nice to be well ahead though.

Full details here.



Paddy Power stewards

Paddy Power has cut the price of Pelle TGS to 16/1 and changed the place terms from EW 1,2,3,4 to EW 1,2,3.

According to the company this happened at 11:33 nearly two hours after I had my bet/blogged the details. Nothing strange in that you might think - despite this being a major football market it surely couldn't be affected by the small number of people that read my blog?

Having checked the terms and conditions of my bet, however, I noticed Paddy Power has recorded it as EW only 1,2,3. I have contacted the company to complain and have been told it will be amended. If you have had a similar bet I suggest you check the details.

The price (20/1) and ew 1,2,3,4 is still available with skybet as I write.




Premier League TGS (2)

Danny Welbeck has started rather slower than anticipated but at least he is a shorter price now than that taken (66/1) at the beginning of September. Unfortunately Arsenal have huge injury problems which is not helping his cause. Aguero scoring four for MC in a single match is no help either! 

I've had a second bet on this market in the hope and belief that it's not all over yet. Costa and Aguero lead the way on nine goals. The surprise package this season is Southampton and they are scoring plenty of goals. Pelle scored twice in their 8-0 mauling of Sunderland and should have had at least a hat-trick in the 80 minutes he played. The number of bookmakers offering 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4 is drying up with the majority offering three places now. Pelle is currently joint third on six goals and I have had:

1pt EW Pelle to be Premier League TGS @ 20/1 Paddy Power (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4)

(Also available Skybet)

Two points staked.

Sent from my iPad 

Monday, 20 October 2014

Erect Kiosks

I'd been watching the marvellous Gillian Anderson in A Streetcar Named Desire from the Young Vic, so thankfully I had no opportunity to see the x-factor results show. 

I was rather surprised to learn that the dreadful Stereo Kicks had managed to find themselves in the bottom three. As a result they have drifted to 36 on Betfair whereas OTY are currently 29. As a consequence the top group betting is now close. 

Here is an update on the prices taken on Thursday:

Lauren to win 11/2 now typically 3/1.
Fleur to win still 14/1 in places.
OTY to win 40/1 EW now 25/1 is best EW price.
OTY top group 9/2 now 6/5 best price. 

A long way to go but chances of a winning return...





                                                           


Saturday, 18 October 2014

Ascot

Ascot looks interesting from a spectator point of view but not so clever for punting with the ground described as heavy, soft in places. So with that in mind I've had two bets in the most difficult race - the lucky last - where it's 10/1 the field! 

First choice is David O'Meara's Fort Bastion who we were on at the last Ascot meeting. Ran a poor race in first time visor, now in first time cheek pieces. The other selection is made primarily because of the ground but also the jockey...

16:45A 0.75pts EW Fort Bastion @ 25/1 Coral BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)
16:45A 0.5pts EW Bold Thady Quill @ 25/1 Betfred BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)

(NB BTQ is currently 33/1 with WH and Boyles but they offer only four places EW).

Stakes kept to a minimum on this potentially difficult day for punters.

Total 2.5pts staked. 

Sent from my iPad 

Thursday, 16 October 2014

X-factor shite

I was not intending to have a bet but having watched the dreadful programme for the first time this year last weekend I have decided to get involved. Reason being I think the favourite is worth opposing. Surely after one week of the live shows 6/4 is far too short with a total of 14 acts still involved. Therefore I am opposing Andrea Faustini as I believe he may have peaked too soon. My main selection is Lauren Platt at 11/2 available with Betfred and others, plus a small bet on Fleur East:

3pts win Lauren Platt to win x-factor @ 11/2 Betfred
1pt win Fleur East to win x-factor @ 14/1 Betfred

I see that 'Sofabet' put up ''New Boy Band" at 11/2 as the most likely winner ahead of the live shows. (Incidentally they are now called Stereo Kicks - ludicrous name.) Big drifter on betfair and now available at 12.5 after just one week of the live shows. Can't have an eight-timer - ridiculous concept. So I'm going to oppose them too by backing the only other group left in the competition as follows: 

1pt win Only The Young to be top group @ 9/2 Betfred
0.5pts EW Only The Young to win x-factor @ 40/1 Coral (1/5th odds 1,2,3)

Total six points staked.

Don't know yet whether I will be having a bet at Ascot on Saturday. Looks like the ground will be very heavy if the meeting goes ahead. Probably decide Saturday morning. Things going well recently though with 7/1 and 11/1 winners tipping the accumulative win % for 2014 above 28%. Happy days.

Sent from my iPad 

Monday, 13 October 2014

Joni Mitchell albums for an incredible £2 each!

I won't be buying this collection. But that's because I already have everything she has recorded. But this collection is such extraordinary value I thought it was worth bringing it to your attention. It features her TEN studio albums recorded between 1968-1979. And yet it costs only £21.17 post free from Amazon...

Click here: Joni Mitchell studio albums