Thursday, 30 October 2014

Breeders' Cup Mile (Turf)

Have had a bet in the penultimate BC race - it's not run until 23:40 our time Saturday night. Two against the field for me. One American-trained selection which should be quick out the box and has run creditably in this race before. The other a filly trained by Alain de Royer Dupre and (apparently) Soumillon's only ride at the BC:

01:11:2014 23:40 SA 1pt EW Obviously @ 16/1 Skybet (1/4 odds 1,2,3) BOG NRNB
01:11:2014 23:40 SA 1pt win Veda @ 12/1 Paddy Power BOG

Three points staked.



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Wednesday, 29 October 2014

Southampton update

You may be surprised by the plunge on Southampton to finish in the Premier League top four yesterday evening. For example Ladbrokes cut from 6/1 to 4/1. The market move was not a result of my morning blog post and my follower(s) sticking on! A well known tipping site recommended a maximum bet on the south coast side around 16:30 yesterday nearly six hours after my post.

Despite the relatively easy start for Southampton, I think their stats read quite well. Everyone is talking about their striking prowess (20 in nine). Equally impressive though is their defensive record. They have conceded just five goals - fewer than any other team in the whole of the (four-division) football league.

So there we have it. If you took the 6/1 you've had a value bet and that's not just my opinion....

Tuesday, 28 October 2014

Southampton - Premier League

There's no doubt Southampton are the surprise package of the season. Even though we are only one quarter through the season their tally of 19 points from nine matches is impressive. With Chelsea and Man City certain to finish in the top four, there are effectively two further places up for grabs. I think Southampton have a sporting chance of remaining in the top four and have backed them today - at what I consider generous odd of 6/1:

3pts Southampton to finish top four in Premier League @ 6/1 Boylesports

(Also available with Ladbrokes)

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Sunday, 26 October 2014

X-factor update

My main selection Lauren (taken at 11/2) has drifted to 7/2 in the light of increased support for the favourite Andrea to around 6/4. I still don't see him as the winner but could well be wrong of course! 

Bad news with the Groups' match bet. OTY were stitched up by the running order singing second during the overlap time with SCD. Add to that the massive pimping of the dreadful eight-fold it means the latter are back to odds-on to win this category. If you took 9/2 OTY you could secure a guaranteed profit now by betting the others @ 4/6 with Ladbrokes. I'm sticking with OTY though as I only have a small bet on the quartet. 

Fleur, recommended to small stakes at 14/1, did well last night and has been trimmed a couple of points. I've not backed her EW so have just decided to have a small bet on her to beat the other three in her category as follows:

1pt Fleur to win "Top Overs" @ 5/2 Betfred




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Saturday, 25 October 2014

Doncaster - Saturday

Disappointed with yesterday's result after my selection was heavily supported late morning. Two against the field in the sprint today to small stakes: 

15:15D 0.75pt win 0.5pt place Demora @ 14/1 Betfred BOG 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4
15:15D 0.75pt win 0.5pt place Elusivity @ 20/1 Betfred BOG 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4

2.5pts staked.

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Thursday, 23 October 2014

Doncaster

We are nearing the end of the flat season. I'm having a couple of plays at Donny as this meeting has proved profitable in the past. One race tomorrow and another on Saturday. On Friday I'm tackling the very tricky 22-runner 6f handicap with just one selection. I'm going for a soft ground performer ridden by a seven pound claimer. The jockey is Rachel Richardson who I think is quite useful and well worth her claim. She won on the selection at Ponte and Ripon earlier this season. I've had:

15:30D 1.5pts win 1pt place Fast Shot @ 20/1 Coral BOG 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4.

2.5pts staked. 

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Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Richard Hughes

Hughes has landed my 8 pts @ 5/2 wager placed back in August. Although the flat season has not yet finished, RLM has declared he will have no more domestic rides this term. All major bookmakers have paid out on RH - including Coral.

This 20 pts profit has increased the calendar year profits to 136 pts or 31%.

It has been a low staking year compared to 2012/3 for reasons already explained. Nice to be well ahead though.

Full details here.