Saturday, 25 October 2014

Doncaster - Saturday

Disappointed with yesterday's result after my selection was heavily supported late morning. Two against the field in the sprint today to small stakes: 

15:15D 0.75pt win 0.5pt place Demora @ 14/1 Betfred BOG 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4
15:15D 0.75pt win 0.5pt place Elusivity @ 20/1 Betfred BOG 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4

2.5pts staked.

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Thursday, 23 October 2014

Doncaster

We are nearing the end of the flat season. I'm having a couple of plays at Donny as this meeting has proved profitable in the past. One race tomorrow and another on Saturday. On Friday I'm tackling the very tricky 22-runner 6f handicap with just one selection. I'm going for a soft ground performer ridden by a seven pound claimer. The jockey is Rachel Richardson who I think is quite useful and well worth her claim. She won on the selection at Ponte and Ripon earlier this season. I've had:

15:30D 1.5pts win 1pt place Fast Shot @ 20/1 Coral BOG 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4.

2.5pts staked. 

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Tuesday, 21 October 2014

Richard Hughes

Hughes has landed my 8 pts @ 5/2 wager placed back in August. Although the flat season has not yet finished, RLM has declared he will have no more domestic rides this term. All major bookmakers have paid out on RH - including Coral.

This 20 pts profit has increased the calendar year profits to 136 pts or 31%.

It has been a low staking year compared to 2012/3 for reasons already explained. Nice to be well ahead though.

Full details here.



Paddy Power stewards

Paddy Power has cut the price of Pelle TGS to 16/1 and changed the place terms from EW 1,2,3,4 to EW 1,2,3.

According to the company this happened at 11:33 nearly two hours after I had my bet/blogged the details. Nothing strange in that you might think - despite this being a major football market it surely couldn't be affected by the small number of people that read my blog?

Having checked the terms and conditions of my bet, however, I noticed Paddy Power has recorded it as EW only 1,2,3. I have contacted the company to complain and have been told it will be amended. If you have had a similar bet I suggest you check the details.

The price (20/1) and ew 1,2,3,4 is still available with skybet as I write.




Premier League TGS (2)

Danny Welbeck has started rather slower than anticipated but at least he is a shorter price now than that taken (66/1) at the beginning of September. Unfortunately Arsenal have huge injury problems which is not helping his cause. Aguero scoring four for MC in a single match is no help either! 

I've had a second bet on this market in the hope and belief that it's not all over yet. Costa and Aguero lead the way on nine goals. The surprise package this season is Southampton and they are scoring plenty of goals. Pelle scored twice in their 8-0 mauling of Sunderland and should have had at least a hat-trick in the 80 minutes he played. The number of bookmakers offering 1/4 odds 1,2,3,4 is drying up with the majority offering three places now. Pelle is currently joint third on six goals and I have had:

1pt EW Pelle to be Premier League TGS @ 20/1 Paddy Power (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4)

(Also available Skybet)

Two points staked.

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Monday, 20 October 2014

Erect Kiosks

I'd been watching the marvellous Gillian Anderson in A Streetcar Named Desire from the Young Vic, so thankfully I had no opportunity to see the x-factor results show. 

I was rather surprised to learn that the dreadful Stereo Kicks had managed to find themselves in the bottom three. As a result they have drifted to 36 on Betfair whereas OTY are currently 29. As a consequence the top group betting is now close. 

Here is an update on the prices taken on Thursday:

Lauren to win 11/2 now typically 3/1.
Fleur to win still 14/1 in places.
OTY to win 40/1 EW now 25/1 is best EW price.
OTY top group 9/2 now 6/5 best price. 

A long way to go but chances of a winning return...





                                                           


Saturday, 18 October 2014

Ascot

Ascot looks interesting from a spectator point of view but not so clever for punting with the ground described as heavy, soft in places. So with that in mind I've had two bets in the most difficult race - the lucky last - where it's 10/1 the field! 

First choice is David O'Meara's Fort Bastion who we were on at the last Ascot meeting. Ran a poor race in first time visor, now in first time cheek pieces. The other selection is made primarily because of the ground but also the jockey...

16:45A 0.75pts EW Fort Bastion @ 25/1 Coral BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)
16:45A 0.5pts EW Bold Thady Quill @ 25/1 Betfred BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)

(NB BTQ is currently 33/1 with WH and Boyles but they offer only four places EW).

Stakes kept to a minimum on this potentially difficult day for punters.

Total 2.5pts staked. 

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