Wednesday, 31 July 2013

Last race punt

What a great result - 14/1 winner at Leicester and 23.5 points profit on the race. Jockey timed his run perfectly this time... The other selection would have been second if it hadn't missed the break.

Small interest in the last:

20:45L 1pt win Pour La Victoire @ 11/2 Coral BOG


I have had a bet in the penultimate race at Leicester:

20:10L1.5pt win 1pt place Bajan Bear @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
20:10L 1pt win Fennela Fudge @ 15/2 William Hill BOG

Bajan Bear hasn't won for two years but he nearly did last time out when I blogged him ew at Salisbury. Arguably he made his move a shade early then and was collared close home. I think he is worth another chance at 14/1.

Total 3.5pts staked.

I may have a bet in the last as well but not until the above race has finished. Will post at an appropriate time if I do.

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Wednesday horses

Not getting too involved today. Don't fancy anything at Goodwood or Galway. I may play at lowly Leicester but want to see the first race before deciding. I will post between 18:15 and 18:45 if I am having a bet.

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Tuesday, 30 July 2013

Good start to the week + 19 points

14/1 poke Brown Sugar got things going nicely today. (Won 8/1).

Bondi Beach Boy was very heavily backed at Beverley - lead all the way but just lasted home. We took 4/1 but this was subject to a 20p rule 4 which means a payout at 3.2/1. The Goodwood sprint handicap was no good at all with the main selection, backed from 14/1 to 9/1, finishing 19/20!

Over at Galway Sophie's Echo got up for third (beaten two heads) for a 10/1 place (less a 10p rule 4). So stakes today: 13.50 - returns 32.77 - profit 19.27.The figures do not include an almost certain two point loss on Hanagan to be top Goodwood jockey. Let's give him a day or two to catch up before we write him off!

There may not be much tomorrow but will have a look later.

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Late non-runner

Lady Gibraltar doesn't go in the 17:25G so I have had an additional bet as follows:

17:25G 1.5pts ew Tioman Legend @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)

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Sweet start to the day..

I bet your mama was a tent show queen, and all her boy
Friends were sweet sixteen.
I'm no schoolboy but I know what I like,
You should have heard me just around midnight.

Ah brown sugar how come you taste so good
(a-ha) brown sugar, just like a young girl should.

I said yeah, I said yeah, I said yeah, I said
Oh just like a, just like a black girl should.

I said yeah, I said yeah, I said yeah, I said
Oh just like, just like a black girl should.

Looks like a bum steer on Hanagan - two non-runners in first three races is not the best of starts. Hopefully sweet success of Brown Sugar @ 14/1 has made up for that...winning day whatever happens now.

Further Tuesday bets

17:10B 2pts win Bondi Beach Boy @ 4/1 Betfred BOG
17:10B 2pts win Mercers Row @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

17:25G 0.75pts ew Edge Closer @ 33/1 Bet365 BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)

19:45G 2pts win Indian Landing @ 9/2 William Hill BOG
19:45G 1.5ew Sophies Echo @ 10/1 Bet365 BOG (11/1 at VCbet)
19:45G 0.5pt rev forecast above two (William Hill)

Total above 11.5pts. That should be it today if no non-runners selected.

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How come you taste so good?

One more bet before the morning when I will be looking at another selection in the Goodwood sprint handicap, a race at Beverley and one race from Galway's evening card. The following bet must be with Coral who offer 1/4 odds and BOG:

14:30G 1pt ew Brown Sugar @ 14/1 Coral BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3 provided eight or more run)

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Monday, 29 July 2013

Goodwood Top Jockey

Hughes and Moore are the obvious choices for top jockey honours at Goodwood, however I think Paul Hanagan could give them a run for their money (and for my money). He has six rides tomorrow including two "paper" favourites and has attractive rides for the likes of Roger Varian and Richard Fahey throughout the week. 

He is 22/1 with Skybet however I suspect they will change their odds as soon as I place my (small) bet (which will be immediately after I fire off this email to the blog). If you miss the 22/1 then 20/1 with VC or 16/1 generally would be OK:

2pts win Paul Hanagan to be top jockey Goodwood @ 22/1 Skybet

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Tuesday horses

First bet at Goodwood tomorrow which is not BOG unfortunately but it's top price at the moment and one extra place with this firm. Last year I advised the second in this race and it only lost by a short-head @ 25/1 so I will probably have another bet in the race tomorrow:

17:25G 1.5pts ew Lady Gibraltar @ 10/1 Skybet (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)


No bets today. Finished the week with a small profit despite no joy yesterday with my selections finishing 7th and 8th. Will probably play something at Goodwood and/or Beverley tomorrow. Meanwhile I have updated my annual figures to 29/07/13:

Flat season 2013: + 291pts (27.1%)

Total bets 2013: + 445pts (28.3%)

Sunday, 28 July 2013

Sunday horses

Ascot today. Just playing one race - most people would conclude the hardest race of the day to fathom, at least on paper. I have had:

17:20A 2pts ew Blanc De Chine @ 16/1 Coral BOG
17:20A 1pt ew Zero Money @ 16/1 Coral BOG

Six points staked. Please not that bigger prices are available as I write with bookmakers who will not take my bets - like Stan James and Vic Chandler.

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Saturday, 27 July 2013

Saturday wrap

What a result today. Thought I was massive odds-on to lose this week following a disastrous Weds/Thurs. But then, tackling the hardest race of the day - the 29-runner handicap at Ascot, we land the spoils with Galician winning at 33/1. Not only that but the other selection in the race finishes fifth to reward our ew bet which was intentionally struck with Paddy Power, one of the few bookmakers paying out on fifth place. Consequently the return on the race was 52.25 pts meaning 37.25 pts Saturday profit. This puts us around 10 points up since Monday with Ascot to follow again tomorrow.

Saturday horses

Small profit yesterday thanks to the biggest bet of the day, Oil Strike, in the last. Bets I have placed so far today are as follows:

15:15A 2pts ew Field Of Dream @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)
15:15A 1pt ew Galician @ 33/1 Coral BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4)

16:25A 1.5pts ew Space War @ 20/1 Coral BOG

15:05Newc 1pt win Dubai Dynamo @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

16:50Newc 2pts win Ingenti @ 10/3 William Hill BOG

17:25Newc 2pts win Gran Canaria Queen @ 5/2 William Hill BOG

0.5pts ew treble above three @ prices with William Hill

Total 15 points.

Possible additional bet(s) at Ascot, if so will be posted by around 16:00. Also will consider Lingfield/Salisbury and post by around 18:00 if having a bet.

Friday, 26 July 2013

Friday horses 2

Main selection in the last at Ascot is a non-runner. Additional bet as follows:

16:50A 1pt ew Irish Boy @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

Other bets are at Thirsk:

16:30T 2pts wim Imshivalla @ 5/1 Paddy Power BOG

17:00T 1.5pts ew Balinka @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

17:25T 6pts win Oil Strike @ 11/4 William Hill BOG

Thursday, 25 July 2013

Friday horses

Two poor days not helped by two close seconds today. Ascot and Thirsk tomorrow. Will swerve Chepstow I think. A couple of early punts at Ascot:

14:35A 4pts win Mr Mathews @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

16:50A 3pts win 2pts place Huntsman's Close @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
16:50A 1pt win Irish Boy @ 14/1 Betfred BOG

Ten points staked. Thirsk in the morning.

Thursday horses

Bets from Bath, Sandown and Doncaster today:

14:40B 1pt ew Elounta @ 16/1 Paddy Power BOG

16:50S 2.5pts ew Scottish Glen @ 16/1 William Hill BOG
16:50S 1pt win Charitable Act @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

18:45D 3pts win Uprise @ 6/1 Paddy Power BOG

19:15D 5pts win Sylvia Pankhurst @ 5/2 Paddy Power BOG

19:50D 3pts win Dutch Rose @ 6/1 William Hill BOG
19:50D 1pt win Piddie's Power @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

Total 20 points staked.

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Wednesday, 24 July 2013

Wednesday horses 2

No further bets today unless any of the selections already advised do not run.

Wednesday horses

From Lingfield and Leicester:

16:40Ling 1.5pts ew Pharoh Jake @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG

17:10Ling 2pts win 1pt place Above The Stars @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

17:35Ling 2pts win 1pt place Spin Again @ 9/1 Paddy Power BOG

17:40Leic to follow

18:10Leic 1pt win Shillito @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
18:10Leic 1.5pt straight forecast Sedenoo to beat Shillito (William Hill)

20:20Leic 2.5pts win 1.5pts place Creek Falcon @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

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Monday, 22 July 2013

Monday review

Small profit. In the 19:30 Secret Empress, having been backed into 8/1, drifted on course back out to 12/1. Couldn't win but got second behing the odds-on shot to land the forecast (£10.84) and four points back on the ew part of the bet (BOG).

Blow out in the last. Once again advised prices available right up until 20 minutes before the off and then the two selections were heavily backed on course: 4/1>9/4 and 12/1>5/1. Six Wives missed the break and never recovered. Come On Dave tried to make all finishing fourth, beaten a neck for third place.

So nine points staked today, returns 14.84 points. No bets on Tuesday's racing but will probably be something from Leicester and/or Sandown on Wednesday.

Monday horses 2

Further bets at Beverley:

19:30Bev 1pt straight forecast Relight My Fire to beat Secret Empress (William Hill)

21:00Bev 2pts win Six Wives @ 4/1 Coral BOG
21:00Bev 1.5pts ew Come On Dave @ 12/1 Betfred BOG (14/1 VC if you can get it)

Interesting day's sport yesterday. I played the Curragh jackpot - not a big perm, just 2x2x2x5 - but went down in the first leg. It was nonetheless a value play as the dividend was 6,273 whereas the same bet at SP would have paid 1,782. Hope you got it!

The golf though was brilliant. Phil said even par for the tourney could win it and, in fact, had he scored 69 he would have been in a play-off with Stenson, both finishing on that score. Fortunately for Mickleson backers he shot a brilliant 66 which led to a clear win by three shots. I thought Westwood would feel the pressure eventually but was beginning to worry when he went odds-on with betfair. Still it all turned out OK in the end and the small interest in the golf produced 35 points profit!

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Monday horses

19:30Bev 2pts win 1pt place Secret Empress @ 10/1 Bet365 BOG

More to follow

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Sunday, 21 July 2013

Open Golf Sunday

Terrible day with the horses. In particular very disappointing results at Lingfield where my selections were heavily punted - generally after the racecourse market opened - but not one even finished in the frame. We must look at the overall situation after such a set back. We are still nearly 300 points up for the flat season which is the lion's share of nearly 400 points up for the calendar year.

No horse bets Sunday (maybe something Monday) apart from a possible stab at the Curragh jackpot. Obviously no point in me telling you what I am going to put in my perm because - in the very unlikely event of my landing a share of the pool - anyone copying my selections would just reduce the potential dividend! You might like to have a look yourself though as there is a huge carry-over and the tote jackpot comprises just four races (races 3-6).

I have an excuse now to get involved in the final day of the golf. Last year, at this stage of the tourney, I suggested two players: G-Mac (9/2) and Big Difficult (25/1) and it was of course the latter who came from six shots back to win it. Well there are 18 players to choose from within six shots of the leader. However the market is very much centred around Westwood (2/1 best) and Woods (5/2). There are negatives about both players: the former has been labelled as a bit of a bottler as he has never won a major and has the highest number of top three major finishes (seven) amongst players without a major win. On the other hand Woods, a prolific winner of course, has not won a major for five years. Of the 14 he has won, he has never been lower than a share of the lead going into the final day. (He is in the penultimate group two off the lead). 

So someone could conceivably beat the bookies' favourites. I like the look of Phil Mickelson who showed his well-being by winning the Scottish Open last week. He has not produced a great round here as yet but maybe that might happen Sunday. He says that even par for the tournament could win it now - so perhaps he can shoot a 69 to achieve exactly that? In terms of each-way betting it's now a quarter the odds 1,2,3 (except Skybet and Boyles, offering only a fifth). So I have had:

1pt each-way Phil Mickelson to win the Open @ 28/1 Coral (1/4 odds 1,2,3) 

A top three place would give eight points back for six profit. Not a huge bet but will provide an interest should it be too hot to go outside!

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Saturday, 20 July 2013

Saturday horses 2

Lingfield selections:

17:30L 2.5pts win Wise Venture @ 11/2 Betfred BOG

18:35L 2.5pts win Sakuramachi @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

19:10L 1.5pts ew Ansells Pride @ 8/1 Coral BOG 

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Saturday horses

From Ripon and Haydock:

15:10R 2pts win 1pt place Discression @ 8/1 Bet365 BOG
15:10R 1.5pts win Hakuna Matata @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

20:30H 1pt ew Cardmaster @ 25/1 Coral BOG

Lingfield later.

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Friday, 19 July 2013

Friday wrap - saving the best 'til last!

Thought it was going to be an iffy day when my first two selections both finished second. In fact there were no returns until the last race advised.

And then - bang - a 1-2 with Rodrigo De Torres winning at 22/1 by a short-head from Fast Shot at 20/1. This was the only race today where I suggested two horses and I know that some blog readers favour a reverse forecast on these occasions. If you are lucky enough to have done that you will have copped 389 points for your 1pt reverse forecast. If not, you've done pretty well today anyway with 15.5 points profit to advised stakes. More action tomorrow!

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Friday horses 2

Haydock selection is as follows:

17:30Hay 1pt ew Berlusca @ 11/1 William Hill BOG

Friday horses

Better late than never - or perhaps not!

Anyway this is what I have played today:

15:00N 3pts win Meridius @ 5/1 William Hill BOG

15:50Hay 3pts win Imperial Legend @ 5/1 William Hill BOG

16:45N 1pt win Mingun Bell @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

17:20N 1pt ew Aureolin Gulf @ 16/1 Coral BOG

17:30Hay to follow

18:10Ham 2pts ew Military Call @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

19:15Ham 1pt win Dark Lane @ 6/1 Paddy Power BOG

19:45Ham 1pt ew Rodrigo De Torres @ 20/1 Betfred BOG
19:45Ham 1pt ew Fast Shot @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

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Thursday, 18 July 2013

Thursday wrap

In the end it was four points loss on the day. Our ew selections held out most hope for a winning day with Dancing Cosmos on the premises (5th) backed from 12/1 to 15/2. But the nearest to an additional return was fast finishing Fidget (25/1>18/1) beaten just a head for third place. Let's hope for better luck tomorrow!

Thursday update

Took 2/1 about Ghasabah, thought that was a fair price as it had been 13/8 with WH, Lads etc overnight. It has just powered in @ 11/4 and as we are on the BOG we get paid at the SP. So 15 points of our investment of 19 points returned with the first bet. Five further selections running for us now with a maximum downside (on the day) of four points. One more winner would do!

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Thursday horses 2

Back from exhausting tennis. Managed to sneak a win but lost three pounds in the process (weight not money!). Horses as follows:

15:40L 4pts win Ghasabah @ 2/1 Coral BOG

16:30H 2pts win 1pt place Dancing Cosmos @ 12/1 Betfred  BOG

17:00H 3pts win Diddy Eric @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

17:50D 3pts win Ryedane @ 11/2 Bet365 BOG
17:50D 1pt ew Fidget @ 25/1 Coral BOG

18:20D 4pts win Princess Rose @ 3/1 William Hill BOG

Total 19 points staked. 

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Thursday horses

Had no time to finalise the horse selections as have been watching the golf. No, not true, have had a preliminary look at Leicester, Hamilton and Doncaster. Going to play tennis right now in the heat so if I survive that I will post again before 1pm. I've got chances as my opponent used to be my GP!

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Wednesday, 17 July 2013

Wednesday horses

No bets today. Probably some action on Thursday. Staying clear of the golf to concentrate on flat racing. The problem with the Open at Muirfield is that it's too open. The last time it was played here there was a four-man play-off and 13 players finished within two shots of the winner. Tread carefully, therefore, with bookmakers offering each-way bets on first seven or eight. It will be very difficult to pick a golfer to finish in the "frame" and what's more the win prices will of course be shaved. Good luck if you play.

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Tuesday, 16 July 2013

Tuesday wrap

Good start to the day. The two selections given early - on Monday night - both won: 9/4 (SP Evs) and 3/1 (SP 9/4). Chocamoca also obliged - @ 6/1 (BOG). Sir Geoffrey has just been beaten a neck @ 9/1 with Edith Anne fourth which is rather annoying. Tonight's two selections in the last at Kempton don't appear to have a prayer according to betfair (both over 50.0 to win) so I shall be extremely surprised if either is placed. Assuming that is the case we will still finish half a dozen points up on the day.

Sandown tomorrow but the card doesn't look great. Will take another look in the morning.

Tuesday horses 3

Good start today with two winners from the three races run so far: 9/4 and 6/1 (BOG)

We have a non-runner in the 17:15 so have had additional bets as follows:

 17:15Ba 1pt ew Charismas Birthday @ 16/1 Coral BOG
 17:15Ba 0.5pt ew Even Bolder @ 14/1 Coral BOG

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Tuesday horses 2

Both selections last night have been backed further. The first one is now only 7/4 and must have a good chance - top weight in nursery, dropped in class, headgear for first time etc. Value at 9/4 but not 7/4.

Other bets:

14:30Be 2pts win Yourelikemefrank @ 7/1
14:30Be 1pt win Chocamoca @ 4/1 Betfred BOG

14:45Ba 2pts win Best Be Careful @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

 16:30Be 1pt ew Just The Tonic @ 13/2 Betfred BOG

17:15 Ba 1pt ew Volcanic Dust @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG
17:15Ba 0.5pt ew Charimas Birthday @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

17:35Be 1pt ew Edith Anne @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
17:35Be 1pt win Sir Geoffrey @ 9/2 Betfred BOG

21:00Ke 1.5pt ew Mojo Bear @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
21:00Ke 1pt ew Nepalese Pearl @ 25/1 Betfred BOG

Plenty of interest!

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Monday, 15 July 2013

Tuesday horses

Following a couple of days' break from horse racing we have potential bets at Bath, Beverley and Kempton tomorrow. Maybe seven races in all. Two short ones (which have already been supported but could shorten further) to start the ball rolling:

14:15Ba 4pts win Zalzilal @ 9/4 Paddy Power BOG

16:30Be 3pts win Relight My Fire @ 3/1 Paddy Power BOG

I will be disappointed if one of the above does not win. More tomorrow.

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Saturday, 13 July 2013

Saturday horses - evening

Back from my eight-mile walk in the Shropshire sunshine. In fact I was back in time to watch the 13:55A race. I didn't think Long Awaited had got up for fourth but, as they say, every little helps.

A winning day thanks to the 10/1 winner at Chester. Don't fancy much tonight. Most of the fields are too small. Just one more bet today:

18:55S 1pt ew Bajan Bear @ 10/1 William Hill BOG

If the above selection is unplaced the profit on the day will be 10.75 points. It's been a very good week. Since Monday we have had a 16/1 winner, two winners @ 10/1 and also a 9/2 poke that obliged. Long may it continue!

Next bets unlikely to be before Tuesday.

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Saturday horses

First of all the big handicap at Ascot:

13:55A 2pts win 1pt place Move In Time @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

Last night's selection is 11/1 with Bet365 if you have not already played. At Chester:

14:50C 2.5pts win Layla's Oasis @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG
14.50C 4pts win Red Explorer @ 5/2 William Hill BOG

16:00C 2pts ew Al's Memory @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG
16:00C 3pts win El Viento @ 13/2 Paddy Power BOG

More from Ascot and this evening's meetings this afternoon.

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Friday, 12 July 2013


Another profitable day thanks to the day's best bet leading all the way at Chester and therefore scoring at 9/2 (SP 4/1). Looks like a busy day tomorrow. I am interested in Chester, Ascot, Salisbury and Hamilton. Two afternoon meets, two evening. I am going for a very long walk in the morning so will probably deal with the first two meetings around 9am (before I go). Then - if I survive the walk - I will deal with the other two gaffs early afternoon onwards.

Ascot starts tomorrow with a 20-runner 5f sprint. Pricewise has put up two in the race and needless to say they have been all the rage tonight and are currently first and second favourite. Consequently slightly better odds on the two I fancy. I have already played one of them, Paul Hanagan's mount:

13:55A 2.5pts win 1.5pts place Long Awaited @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG 

(11/1 VC if you can get it)

Four points staked.

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Friday horses 4

Happy to settle for the placed horse at 14/1 at Ascot. Am switching to York for my final bet this afternoon:

16:05Y 2pts win Ponty Acclaim @ 9/1 William Hill BOG

Robert Winston rides.

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Friday horses 3

14:35A 1pt ew Princess Rose @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG

Let's see how the above selection gets on before placing further Ascot bets.

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Friday horses 2

Had a look Ascot and Chepstow. Definitely no bets at the latter. Still considering Ascot. The COC has watered however, so I would like to see how the track is running before I get involved. Therefore I will watch 14:00 race and post shortly after that if I have a bet in a later race(s).

Live music at The Marches

Benet Walsh and Sam Thomas entertain at The Marches with the backdrop of Ludlow Market Square

Friday horses

Great end to the afternoon yesterday when Robert Winston turned up at Doncaster for one ride. He came with a storming run on Sleepy Blue Ocean to land my 16/1 poke (SP 11/1). After drawing a blank for a couple days this was a welcome return to the winners' enclosure. Plenty of fancy prices available throughout the day with 16s available with several firms and even 21.0 on betfair.

No crisps last night: carpaccio (local beef) with parmesan shavings, grilled scallops with cauliflower purée and (local) black pudding, Sauvignon Blanc. Live music followed at The Marches pub supplied by (friend) Benet Walsh and Sam Thomas. Wye Valley HPA and Salopian Oracle beers were consumed.

Well why not indulge when the winners are coming in? Next week it might be "bread and point". A war-time expression of my father: meaning just bread to eat whilst pointing to meat elsewhere. 

There are drawbacks to such indulgence though as I have missed some prices this morning. Have had a look at Chester and placed the following bets just now:

19:20C 4pts win Riskit Fora Biskit @ 9/2 William Hill BOG
19:20C 2pts win Smart Daisy K @ 11/4 Betfred BOG

19:50C 2pts win Steventon Star @ 11/4 Coral BOG

Eight points staked.

I will be looking at Ascot and Chepstow over the next hour or so although there is a possibility of no further bets. Will post before 13:00 if there is any more action today. Meanwhile more tea required!

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Thursday, 11 July 2013

Thursday horses 2

16:50D 3 pts win Chunky Diamond @ 9/4 
16:50D 2pts ew Sleepy Blue Ocean @ 16/1 Bet365 BOG

Thursday horses

Doncaster today:

14:00D 3pts win Ptolemy @ 7/1 William Hill BOG
14:00D 1.5pts ew Imperator Augustus @ 14/1 Betfred BOG

One race to follow.

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Wednesday, 10 July 2013

Wednesday horses

Kempton tonight:

18:20K 3pts win Excellent Jem @ 5/1 Paddy Power BOG
18:20K 1.5pts ew The Guru Of Gloom @ 10/1 Coral BOG

19:20K 1.5pts ew Ocean Legend @ 16/1 Paddy Power BOG
19:20K 1pt ew Jocasta Dawn @ 14/1 Willam Hill BOG

Total 11 points staked.

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Tuesday, 9 July 2013

Tuesday wrap

No good today.

In the Wolverhampton race Little Jimmy Odsox was backed from 9/1 to 11/2 and was beaten half-a-length.

In the Pontefract race Kolonel Kirkup was a very warm order - backed from the 8/1 I took (win and place) to 11/4. It was subsequently put up ew by a major internet tipster @ 6/1 but unfortunately did not break well and could only finish fourth.

Kempton tomorrow.

Tuesday horses 2

Not getting too involved at Wolver, just small bets in the first:

13:45W 1pt win Little Jimmy Odsox @ 9/1 Coral BOG
13:45W 0.5pts ew Diamond Vine @ 28/1 William Hill BOG (33/1 Stan shite)

Two points staked.

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Tuesday horses

Pontefract last race:

17:30P 1.5pts win 1pt place Kolonel Kirkup @ 8/1 Wiliam Hill BOG
17:30P 1pt ew Kat Moon @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

Total 4.5 points. Wolverhampton to follow.

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Monday, 8 July 2013

Border Bandit

A quiet day but a successful one. Very strange market at Ripon for this last race. The market initially wanted District Attorney which was backed down to 5/1 with one company this morning. Yet later in the day both my selections were available at bigger prices - 12/1 or greater.

Once the racecourse market opened Border Bandit was all the rage and was punted from 10/1 to 6/1. For whatever reason the whole of the track must have been on! Why do I say that? Look at the tote return - £3.60 - 5/2! But we were on at 10/1 so that was juicy!

I'll have a look at Wolverhampton and Pontefract tomorrow but at first glance it doesn't look great....

Monday horses

Just one race today:

21:20R 3pts win District Attorney @ 15/2 Betfred BOG
21:20R 1.5pts ew Border Bandit @ 10/1 Bet365 BOG

Six points staked.

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Saturday, 6 July 2013

Saturday wrap

After a grumpy Friday I bounced back today with a reasonable profit. I was so annoyed at my performance yesterday (despite the small profit on the horses) that I was up before 7.00am today to analyse the five cards that were of interest. In the end I could only narrow it down to eight races. Thankfully these produced three winners: w9/2, w9/2 (10p r4) and w4/1 plus an ew second at 14/1. Profit on the day 20.6 points.

Time out tomorrow despite racing taking place at one of my favourite tracks - Bellewstown! Won't see you on the hill (unfortunately). Tennis (playing) in the morning followed by tennis (watching Mugray) in the afternoon.

Expect to be back with a race at Ripon on Monday. Enjoy the sunshine.....

Saturday horses 3 and feedback

A blog reader has kindly alerted me to the fact that there is no selection listed for the 19:30N race. Luckily it's now a point bigger so to confirm:

19:30N 2.5pts win 1pt place Divertimenti @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

Feel in a better mood now having been out in the sunshine! Wasn't too bad a day yesterday as another reader informed me. After all we had the one-two in the Sandown sprint and this chap had the foresight to land the reverse forecast which paid £44!

Saturday horses 2

16:00L 3pts win Askaud @ 9/2 Bet365 BOG
16:00L 1pt win Accession @ 5/1 William Hill BOG

That's it for today. Hacked off with the tennis: opposing Djoko and Mugray. At least it was only for small money but it was very close in the Djoko match. At least you lucky VC punters will have your stake (on Delpo) back as a free bet as he lost in the fifth set.

The tennis, however, has been a distraction to the main task of finding horse winners. I won't bore you with the details but it definitely cost me yesterday. But that's it for Wimbledon. In the ladies' final I hope Lisicki wins as she deserves it most having defeated the numbers one and four seeds. Plus Bartoli is just horrible. 

In the men's it's an even call. I'll be cheering on Mugray now (having opposed him in the last two rounds) as I no longer have any financial interest.

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Saturday horses

Plenty going on today. Had a go:

13:30S 2.5pts ew Related @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

14:05S 1pt ew Hoyam @ 10/1 Coral BOG
14:05S 2pts win a Tickled Pink @ 9/2 Paddy Power BOG

14:15L 4pts win Big Wave @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

14:30B 3pts Just Paul @ 4/1 Betfred BOG
14:30B 1pt ew Joeluke @ 20/1 William Hill BOG

16:00L to follow

17:35L 1.5 ew Maakirr @ 20/1 William Hill BOG

19:30N 2.5pts win 1pt place @ 11/1 William Hill BOG

21:00N 2pts win Cheers Big Ears @ 10/1 William Hill BOG

Total stakes: too much!

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Friday, 5 July 2013

Friday continued

Terrific tennis in prospect. Going to take an interest in the first match. Both Djoko and Delpo have not dropped a set coming into their semi-final match. This is a remarkable stat for Delpo as he was badly injured after a few points of his match against Ferrer. Yet he recovered and came through.

The H2H is 8-3 for Djoko so one could be inclined to think that this will be straight forward. However Delpo won their latest encounter and also won their only match on grass, Delpo beat Djoko at the Olympics last summer to earn the Bronze medal, in itself a great recovery as he had gone so close to putting out Federer to earn a place in the Olympic final. 

Delpo is around 11/2 on betfair to win the match (after commission). However I think it is worth giving up half a point and backing him with one of the bookmakers who require the match to be completed for settlement. That means if Deplo's leg is bad and he retires during the match stakes would be returned. Bookmakers who settle in this way include Bet365, VC and WH. I have had:

2pts win Delpo to beat Djoko @ 5/1 Bet365 

However if you have a VC account you should have the bet there (at 5/1) as you will also get your money back (as a free bet) if Delpo loses in five sets. I have also had this miracle bet:

0.5pts Delpo to win 3-0 sets against Djoko @ 29.0 Betfair 

So no doubt we can expect what everyone is predicting - a Djoko v Mugray final on Sunday!

On the horses I have added one more selection at Doncaster:

15:35D 1pt ew Hadaj @ 20/1 Coral BOG

The market has gone crazy for my two pokes in the first at Sandown. Would be nice if one of them could win it....

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Thursday, 4 July 2013

Friday horses 2

15:35D 1.5pts ew Showboating @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG

14:20S 1pt win Doctor Parkes @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

Four points staked.

At least one more racing post in the morning. 

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Friday horses

A poor day today. Particularly disappointed with Flipper's performance. 

A couple of early punts for tomorrow:

14:20S 3pts win 1pt place Joe Packet @ 11/1 William Hill BOG (12/1 with VC)

Possible further bet in above race tomorrow.

19:30B 2.5pts win Rex Romanorum @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
19:30B 1pt ew Rich Forever @ 33/1 Bet365 BOG

May also have a bet at Doncaster.

Total 8.5 points staked.

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Anti-Mugray bet for tomorrow. Reckon Andy's feeling pretty stiff this morning!

2pts win Jerzy Boy to beat Mugray @ 5.4 Betfair 

The big fella maybe a bit one dimensional against the inventive Mugray but I give him a chance at a fraction over 4/1.

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Thursday horses

Two races @ Haydock:

17:20H 2.5pts win Golden Causeway @ 13/2 Bet365 BOG

17:50H 2pts win Lord Of The Dance @ 8/1 Coral BOG
17:50H 0.75pt ew No Poppy @ 20/1 Coral BOG

Total six points staked

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Wednesday, 3 July 2013

Wednesday wrap

Despite the exits of my long shots Berdych (66/1 o/r) and Verdasco (11.0 Mugray match) - both of whom played well in defeat - it's been a good day. That's because we had one winner - three points on 6/1 (BOG) chance Bosham at Kempton - from the three races tackled today. Twelve points profit on the horses. Pays for the crisps...

As for Mugray he just managed to pull through but has drifted to 3.05 on betfair despite the move into the semi-finals. It will be interesting to see how he gets on against Jerzy Boy on Friday. The 6'8" Pole beat Mugray in Paris (indoors) in November last year to level the H2H @ 1-1

Meanwhile I'll be cheering on the Flipper to take out the unlikeable Bartoli tomorrow. Let's hope she can do it. Unfortunately I don't think I will be able to watch the match live. 

Haydock could be the place for a couple of wagers in the morning.

Wednesday horses 2

Not massively keen on the selected Chepstow race but one of these rags could reach the frame:

18:40C 1pt ew Catflap @ 25/1 Paddy Power BOG
18:40C 0.5pts ew Compton Prince @ 16/1 Paddy Power BOG

Three points staked.

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Wednesday horses

Two races at Kempton and possibly one at Chepstow:

18:20K 3pts win Fenella Fudge @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

18:50K 3pts win Bosham @ 11/2 Bet365 BOG

Chepstow later.

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Tuesday, 2 July 2013

Further Mugray observation

One other observation about Mugray during his last match was his second serve. Why is it so frequently landing half way up the service box? Surely this is going to be a major problem unless it is rectified soon? If one of his next two opponents can't capitalise then should he meet Djoko in the final he would have no chance.

I see that you can lay Mugray @ 2.76 on betfair for the tournament. I think he will be at least that price if he is up against Djoko in the final. But he has two more matches to play yet.

There is a remote possibility that Berdych will take care of the Serb tomorrow. That would certainly suit my 66/1 wager on the Czech.

A lot still to play for. I'm not a layer - I'm a backer - but IMO Mugray is poor value @ 7/4 to win this tournament. No bet recommendation though.

Should be good viewing tomorrow as the way the OOP is structured we should be able to see the Djoko match on court one as first match on followed by Mugray as second match on centre.


Tuesday wrap

A good day with just two horse races played and a juicy 8/1 winner in the first of these. Although this was a late posting I did say in the 12:42 post that I would be posting between 16:30 and 16:45 and the post for the 17:00 race was duly made at 16:43. Sometimes you have to have a good look at the way the track is running before stepping in.

Tomorrow I will be interested in the evening meetings at Kempton and Chepstow. 

In the tennis Li Na couldn't win against an injured A-Rad. She had copious set points in the first set and failed to convert. She let A-Rad back in and that was that. You have to say Li Na was a little unlucky as she aced A-Rad on set point in the first set and although the ball was called out the (unchallenged) replay showed that the ball was in. 

Flipper put in a great performance to beat (an unwell) Kvitova in three sets. Flipper made a total of just five unforced errors in the match and hopefully (although she will start second favourite against the unlikeable Bartoli) she will have a good chance of reaching the final. Looking at the match prices now Flipper is a best priced 11/8 to beat the Frenchwoman and was 2/1 to beat K-Vit. So the double match result was effectively just over 6/1 and we have just under 12/1 as the place part of our 35/1 bet on the Belgian.

Tomorrow it's the men's quarter finals and Murray plays a lefty for the first time this year. There is still a question mark about Murray's back. Verdasco has been inspired since picking up a new racquet a few matches back and although I am not getting heavily involved in the match I have had:

1pt win Verdasco to beat Murray @ 11.0 Betfair 

So that is a 9.5-1 chance after betfair commission. 

Horses tomorrow.

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Tuesday horses 2

Nice winner in the 17:00 @ 8/1 (SP 7/1) so am going to press up in the last here. This one is ridden by the seven-pound claimer who won for us yesterday at Pontefract:

17:30H 3pts win Hab Reeh @ 9/2 William Hill BOG

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Tuesday horses

17:00H 2pts ew Imperial Legend @ 8/1 Betfred BOG (bigger at S James)
17:00H 1pt straight forecast Bondi Beach Boy to beat Imperial Legend with Betfred

Five points staked.

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Tuesday bets

A good day yesterday with Lisicki beating Serena in the only match bet advised so far during Wimbledon fortnight. The 37.9 points profit on the match (after betfair commission and deduction of the 2pt 2-1 sets saver). At least this pays for my quarter win bets and the ew selections which have already lost.

In terms of Wimbledon bets still running, Berdych is still in there @ 66/1 ew but plays Djoko tomorrow who is in excellent form. In terms of the Women's event - which looks wide open now - we have Li Na @ 33/1, a bet placed in January with Paddy Power when she was going through a hot streak. I gave up on her after the French as still too mentally fragile. Incredibly she is no better than a 9/2 shot this morning for the championships.

Talking of the women's event being wide open I have had two further ew bets  - one in each half:

2pts ew Kirsten Flipkens @ 35/1 Paddy Power (1/3 odds 1,2) 

Flipkins plays Kvitova today for which she is no better than 2/1 and holds a 1-0 HTH with K-Vit. If successful she would then play the winner of Stephens v Bartoli for a place in the final. With the ew we are getting nearly 12/1 about that happening on the ew part of the bet.

The new tournament favourite Lisicki is in the other half of the draw and is up against Robson's conqueror Kanepi. I would love to see Lisicki win the championships but sentiment has no place in betting and after such a big win yesterday there could be a negative reaction so I am taking a little bet on Kanepi ew as follows:

1pt ew Kaia Kanepi @ 25/1 Totesport (1/3 odds 1,2)

Six points staked.

If I have a bet on the horses today I will publish it on the blog between 16:30 and 16:45. Talent Scout led all the way to win the selected Pontefract race yesterday.

Monday, 1 July 2013

Monday horses

Just one race at Pontefract of interest:

17:30P 2pts win Talent Scout @ 5/1 William Hill BOG
17:30P 1.5pts ew Eastlands Lad @ 20/1 Bet365 BOG

Five points staked.

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