Thursday, 18 June 2015


Many thanks for the comments from readers (on last post). They are much appreciated.

There is a value option in the ew market at the moment. Betfred/Totesport are offering 1/2 odds 1,2 whereas every other firm is 1/3 odds 1,2. The bottom half of the draw is weakened by the absence of both Nadal and Wawrinka. The four remaining players are in the quarter- final and therefore require just two wins to reach the final. The top half still has eight players including odds-on Murray.

I have backed three of the four in the lower half as follows:

3pts ew Raonic @ 5/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)
2pts ew Anderson @ 10/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)
1pt ew Simon @ 16/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1,2)

12pts staked.

Hopefully G-Lopez will lose to Anderson. If he doesn't he has a combined 0-7 H2H record against the two in the third quarter. There is no value if the Fred place terms are changed to 1/3 odds.

Raonic means -1.5 pts losing finalist, Anderson level and Simon -3pts. Obviously if one of the three wins the tourney it's a very different story.

Small Ascot bets to follow.

Sent from my iPad

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