ATP London

Have had a bit of a break from betting since the Breeders' Mile. Disappointed with the way Obviously went out like a light, particularly as the race was panning out exactly as I thought it might as they came into the straight.

Sunday sees the start of the final ATP tournament of the year and Djoko is an odds-on chance to win it, being in terrific form. I'm taking a chance against him with the surprise US Open finalists at decent prices. Cilic's form took a big drop immediately after his first GS win. Something that is not uncommon (see for example Wawrinka's form during 2014 following his first GS win). The Croat did bounce back by winning Moscow but without the need to beat a top ten player. If his serve is working well he has a chance of beating anyone, particularly in the three-set format. He faces Berdych and Wawrinka as well as the favourite in Group A.

Nishikori is in Group B and faces Murray, Federer and Raonic. He has a 4-1 H2H against the latter, only going down to the Canadian on the fast courts of Wimbledon. His record against Federer is respectable: 2-2. Murray could give him most trouble as the Scot leads 3:0. But how much will Andy have left having played six tournaments in as many weeks to get here?

I have had the following bets:

1pt EW Marin Cilic to win ATP London @ 20/1 Coral (1/3 odds 1,2) 
1pt Marin Cilic to win Group A @ 8/1 Coral 

1.5pts EW Kei Nishikori to win ATP London @ 18/1 Spreadex fixed odds (1/3 odds 1,2)
2pts Kei Nishikori to win Group B @ 11/2 Spreadex fixed odds

Total eight points staked.

I may have a bet at Doncaster tomorrow. If I do it will be blogged before 10:30am.