World Cup final

In the semis I played the draws at 90 minutes with contrasting results. Germany embarrassed Brazil with a 7-1 win whereas the other semi finished 0-0 at odds taken of 11/5. 

I think the final could be very tight. Germany may have been flattered by their margin of victory over the hosts. The latter were easily beaten by Holland 3-0 last night. 

Argentina have only conceded three goals in the whole tournament. In the knockout stages - that's 330 minutes of football (two of the three matches having gone to extra-time) - they scored just two goals and did not concede. 

The last two World Cup finals (and three of the the last five) have finished all-square after 90 minutes. Therefore I conclude 9/4 the draw tonight (available with several firms) is a value bet. I have had:

4pts Germany v Argentina to draw at 90 minutes @ 9/4 Paddy Power

1pt win no goal scorer (90 mins) @ 13/2 Coral

Five points staked.

I need Germany to lift the cup having taken 7/1 with Coral (generally 4/6 now). No hedge suggested. There is the small consolation of stakes refunded (only up to £25) if Argentina prevail owing to the concession associated with this bet. Let's hope the Germans can oblige.

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