Monday 5 May 2014

Play-offs

I've played the draws in each of the first round play-off matches in The Championship, League One and League Two. These are priced at 9/4 or better with Coral. Statistically these matches are close to a 40% draw success rate which means they should be priced nearer to 6/4 than 9/4 for the stalemate. 

Therefore, in theory, you could layout the notes for six singles and expect at least two to finish all-square for a minuscule profit should just two matches oblige. I prefer to combine them in a multiple and hope for the Crown Jewels! I have had:

08.05.14 Brighton v Derby to draw @ 23/10 Coral
09.05.14 Wigan v Q.P.R. to draw @ 23/10 Coral
10.05.14 York v Fleetwood to draw @ 9/4 Coral
10.05.14 Peterborough v Leyton Orient to draw @ 12/5 Coral
10.05.14 Preston v Rotherham to draw @ 12/5 Coral
11.05.14 Burton v Southend to draw @ 9/4 Coral

20 x 0.4pt trebles. Eight points staked. One treble shows a minimum profit of 5.9 points. But I'm hoping for four draws or more!

Sent from my iPad 

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