Sunday 21 July 2013

Open Golf Sunday

Terrible day with the horses. In particular very disappointing results at Lingfield where my selections were heavily punted - generally after the racecourse market opened - but not one even finished in the frame. We must look at the overall situation after such a set back. We are still nearly 300 points up for the flat season which is the lion's share of nearly 400 points up for the calendar year.

No horse bets Sunday (maybe something Monday) apart from a possible stab at the Curragh jackpot. Obviously no point in me telling you what I am going to put in my perm because - in the very unlikely event of my landing a share of the pool - anyone copying my selections would just reduce the potential dividend! You might like to have a look yourself though as there is a huge carry-over and the tote jackpot comprises just four races (races 3-6).

I have an excuse now to get involved in the final day of the golf. Last year, at this stage of the tourney, I suggested two players: G-Mac (9/2) and Big Difficult (25/1) and it was of course the latter who came from six shots back to win it. Well there are 18 players to choose from within six shots of the leader. However the market is very much centred around Westwood (2/1 best) and Woods (5/2). There are negatives about both players: the former has been labelled as a bit of a bottler as he has never won a major and has the highest number of top three major finishes (seven) amongst players without a major win. On the other hand Woods, a prolific winner of course, has not won a major for five years. Of the 14 he has won, he has never been lower than a share of the lead going into the final day. (He is in the penultimate group two off the lead). 

So someone could conceivably beat the bookies' favourites. I like the look of Phil Mickelson who showed his well-being by winning the Scottish Open last week. He has not produced a great round here as yet but maybe that might happen Sunday. He says that even par for the tournament could win it now - so perhaps he can shoot a 69 to achieve exactly that? In terms of each-way betting it's now a quarter the odds 1,2,3 (except Skybet and Boyles, offering only a fifth). So I have had:

1pt each-way Phil Mickelson to win the Open @ 28/1 Coral (1/4 odds 1,2,3) 

A top three place would give eight points back for six profit. Not a huge bet but will provide an interest should it be too hot to go outside!

Sent from my iPad

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