Stan has contracted to a best price 12/1 for the Paris gig which starts in five weeks' time. I believe that price (available with Spreadex) is worth taking if you missed yesterday's 16/1. Another reason for his price reduction, other than his defeat of Ferrer, is the injury to Djoko's wrist. The latter is as short as 5/4 to win the French Open despite the need to be out of the game for sometime which puts his participation in the second grand slam in some doubt.
Can we exploit the market given Djoko's short price? Whoever wins the Monte Carlo final today will be ranked the Swiss number one and hence the world number three. I think it's unlikely that the two Swiss players will be ranked anything other than three and four at the start of the French. Djoko is not really a value lay on betfair as he has already drifted to 4.4 and could of course recover.
Therefore I think it is worth taking Federer each-way too in the belief that either he and/or Stan is extremely likely to be drawn in the opposite half to Nadal. I have had:
1pt ew Roger Federer to win French Open @ 18/1 Spreadex (1/2 odds 1/2)
If you cannot access 18/1 I would take 16/1 available in several places.
If you cannot access 18/1 I would take 16/1 available in several places.
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