Tuesday 24 December 2013

Long Run

My Xmas/New Year holiday horse punting is usually limited to a bet in the King George. Don't see why that should change this year. The attraction of the KG has been the relatively small fields in recent years with most bookmakers offering each-way odds of 1/4 odds 1,2,3. My record in the race is not very good however. My selection last year was tailed off and in 2011 my choice was third of seven thanks to a late withdraw reducing the field.

This year I have gone for Long Run, last year's winner and the 2011 runner-up. Bookmakers think he has gone and that may prove to be the case however he has been fitted with headgear for the first time and that may make a difference. I like "headgear for the first time" horses on the flat - where I specialise in races up to one mile -  but over three miles we may not see the same sort of improvement! 

5/2 a place is better odds than the eight-year-old's winning SP last year so I think it's worth a small play as follows:

1.5pts ew Long Run @ 10/1 William Hill (1/4 odds 1,2,3) NRNB BOG 

Three points staked.








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