Tuesday 12 March 2013

Cheltenham day two

First of all that was a nice bonus at Wolverhampton with Avonvalley obliging in the first. Not least because the SP was 20/1! Hence 25pts profit on the race.

Tomorrow we have Rule The World @ 10/1 in the Neptune (now best price 6/1) as well as Unioniste @ 11/2 (now 7/2) and Hadrian's Approach @ 10/1 (now 6/1) in the RSA.

In the QM Champion Chase we have the evens SS to very small money and Mail de Bievre @ 14/1 (now 20/1). However we have first three places for MdB against first two places available now. 

As I mentioned in a previous post, if SS does not win it is highly likely that he has fallen. So I have had some very small forecasts excluding the favourite as follows:

15:20C Sizing Europe; Mail de Bievre 0.5pt reverse forecast = 1pt
15:20C Sizing Europe; Mail de Bievre; Wishful Thinking; Sanctuaire; Somersby 20 x 0.1pt reverse forecast = 2pts

To summarize the 15:20, if the fav wins we make 1pt (unless MdB is placed)! If SS or 100/1 shot Tataniano is in the first two the forecasts are down.....

The SS bet and the forecasts are really just a bit of fun but if SS is out of the fist two then there is a chance of a big forecast dividend for a tiny stake.

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