Obviously the prevailing ground conditions are likely to affect the number of finishers and even the winning margin in the race. We may see heavy ground on Saturday. In the last twenty years there has been one void race, 12 occasions when the ground has been good or firmer, four races run on good to soft and three run on heavy ground. In the three years that the ground was described as heavy the number of finishers were six (1994), six (1998) and four (2001). Curiously the National has not been run on ground described as soft since 1983. The number of finishers in the good to soft years is a mixed bag ranging from nine to 22 finishers.
I think we can be confident that the word "good" will be absent from the going description this year, surely it will be a question as to whether the ground is described as soft or heavy?
The winning distances in the "heavy" years were a "distance", 11 lengths and 1.75 lengths. So perhaps not conclusive.
Skybet is currently offering 7/4 for under 12 finishers and I think it is worth stepping in at that price even though there are currently no comparative prices. I have had:-
12pts @ 7/4 Less than 12 runners to finish the National with Skybet
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