Santo

Since I last posted on the Republican race Santo has moved 8% clear in Gallup's daily national tracking poll.

The key state for Santo is Michigan where the next Primary takes place on Feb 28. A new poll today shows Mitt closing the gap on what was a very healthy lead for our 18/1 poke for nominee. Santo is still 4% ahead in this poll however and has shown 6-10% ahead in other polls. Mitt is slight favourite to take Michigan around 4/6 with Santo available @ 11/10. Clearly the markets think Mitt's enormous advertising spend will be sufficient to turn around the Santo sentiment.

Also on Feb 28 a Primary takes place in Arizona. The latest poll shows Romney 8% ahead. There are some scandalous revelations overnight which could have an impact on the Romney campaign however. Also I understand a poll will be published tomorrow which is "good for Santorum".

Therefore I have had 3 pts @ 3/1 Santo for Arizona Primary with Stan James

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