Monday 6 February 2012

Santo surge?

We took some 18/1 Santorum to be the Republican nominee back on 2 January. Since then he drifted out to 66/1 or more and all looked lost. Gingrich suddenly became the man who was the main challenger to Romney and at one time was around the 9/4 mark to get the gig. He has now imploded and can be backed at 20/1 or bigger on betfair. So the question is do we think Romney is home and dry yet? He is trading close to 1/5 on betfair and much shorter with the fixed odds firms.

Yet the suspicion remains that Romney could get turned over by whoever emerges as the right-wing contender. There is a little bit of betting interest in Santo and his price for the Republican nominee has come back down to the 16/1 - 25/1 range.

There are elections in three states tomorrow and Santo is showing up at the head of affairs in the polls in two of the states. So if he does well tomorrow at the very least he could completely regain momentum from Gingrich as the main challenger to the hot favourite.

I'm sticking with our 18/1 bet and am not going to press up. Instead I am having a couple of points on him winding up as the Republican VP candidate. This is showing at 16/1 with W Hill, Lads and PP. (12/1 SJ)

Therefore I have had 2 pts win Santorum to be Republican VP candidate @ 16/1 with Paddy P

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