Forty years ago today (yes 40!) I backed the winner of the Lincoln at 100/1. Southwark Star was returned at 33s and won easily. Three or four of us were on and incredibly our success made the local paper! Since then the race has always been a favourite despite not backing a huge amount of Lincoln winners.
The big discussion is the draw and which side will be favoured. In fact it is usually one side or the other that prevails as they don't often win down the middle. The general consensus seems to be low draw is best in the soft (last two years trap three has won on soft ground) and high draw on good ground. It's good, good to soft in places at the moment and rain is not expected. Could therefore dry out to good all round by the time of the race. Despite this I've backed a low drawn runner for a couple of reasons. Firstly he's had a very good preparation with three warm up races in Meydan. The first of these was a win over today's trip and that was followed by two fair efforts over an unsuitable 10f (he's never won beyond a mile).
The second factor is the eye-catching booking of Pat Smullen who has not ridden him previously. Pat was toiling away (two winners) at dreary Dundalk last night so I guess he must be flying over this morning for the ride. The selection can be a bit tardy at the start so I'm looking for Pat to sort that out. Anyway just a small interest as follows:
15:45D 1pt EW Belgian Bill @ 16/1 Skybet (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5) BOG
Note SKYBET is one of few bookmakers offering five places EW betting.
Sent from my iPad
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