Wednesday 22 May 2013

French Open Tennis - Men 2

VC have cut Ferrer from 33s to 25s. Boylesports have lengthened Ferrer from 28/1 to 33/1. There is a catch with the latter however as they have reduced their place terms to 1/3. So it's now 11/1 instead of 14/1 with Boyles for the place part of the recommended bet. Best ew price for Ferrer right now is with nosporting bet - 40/1 (1/3 1,2).

Thinking about the projected semi-final draw again it can be one of two options:

Djoko 1 v Nadal 3 and Ferrer 4 v Federer 2  or

Djoko 1 v Ferrer 4 and Nadal 3 v Federer 2  No other combinations.

Nadal and Djoko represent over 90% of the win market - 4/6 and 2/1. There is a 50% chance that they could end up in the same half after the seedings and draws are announced on Friday. If this happens you can forecast a radical change to the market and all the 1/2 odds ew betting would possibly disappear.

There are very few negatives about the top two players - Rafa has not played five sets since his return from injury. Djoko has a niggling ankle injury which could take some punishment over five sets for two weeks. In any event I have had a small top up on Federer hoping for the dream Djoko v Nadal projection on Friday!!

1pt ew R Federer to win French Open @ 16/1 Paddy Power (1/2 odds 1,2) 

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