Saturday 15 December 2012

Ba - TGS

Our man is going well with 11 goals, just one behind joint-leaders Michu and Van Persie. As the only ante-post football wager put up so far, prospects look good as he is 14/1 best from the 40/1 each-way taken. 

However we were in a similar promising position last Christmas before Cisse joined the team and Ba goals completely dried up (one goal scored in the league after Cisse joined during the window). 

Seemingly no danger from Cisse this season as he appears to have completely gone. In fact aside from Ba, Newcastle cannot score with our man responsible for the majority of goals in the league. The threat is of a different kind - Ba leaving the club in the window. Could work for us if he goes to Arsenal or Tottenham but obviously not if he goes overseas. 

If he leaves then Newcastle are potentially in real trouble. They are on 17 points just two points above the drop zone. I've just backed Newcastle to be relegated at 12.0 on betfair. Visits to Man U and Arsenal over the Xmas period are not going to be much good to them and they could find themselves in the bottom three come January 1st.

3pts Newcastle to be relegated from Premiership @ 12.0 betfair 

Sent from my iPad

Update 19:18 I see that 12.0 went soon after posting. Obviously some of you have stuck on. If you have missed out I would not put you off 10/1 with Lads or Boyles, which is only about half a point shorter after commission.  

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