Sunday, 4 May 2014

ATP Madrid Open

Bracelet ran a disappointing race today finishing nearer last than first. 

So now I'm moving on to the Madrid Open with a couple of each-way plays. As I'm sure you know Djoko has withdrawn from the tournament which has severely weakened the fourth quarter. Obviously the markets have adjusted as a result but I believe a little bit of value remains. 

I have backed two players who in theory could meet in the quarter-finals if they both progress. In all probability the winner would then meet Stan in the semi for a place in the final to play Nadal, if the seedings hold up. You could argue that Stan is the ew play but he is very short now at no better than 4/1. I have played: 

1.5pts ew David Ferrer to win Madrid Open @ 14/1 Skybet (1/2 odds 1,2)

0.5pts ew Dolgopolov to win Madrid Open @ 100/1 Skybet (1/2 odds 1,2)

Four points staked.

Dolgopolov has lost his last two matches and in addition has a tricky first round match against the higher ranked Fognini. However he has an impressive 5-1 HTH against the Italian who is coming into Madrid having lost the Munich final at the weekend. The Dolgopolov price is available with several firms.

Sent from my iPad 

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