ATP Madrid Open 2

We have a good chance of a return with Ferrer in the Madrid Open. He played well to defeat Gulbis yesterday. He is favourite to beat Nishikori today and give a return of 12 points for reaching the final. That would be an eight point profit on the event. However I'm having a three point saver on Nishikori to win the match with William Hill @ 9/5. The Japanese player is very much the man in form and is capable of winning the semi-final if fully fit. In yesterday's match with Lopez he twice had treatment for a bad back.

William Hill will void all match bets if there is a retirement - one of the reasons I have chosen them for the hedge bet. Nishikori is more likely to retire than Ferrer, according to everything we know. But bear in mind if the Spaniard retires the hedge bet will of course be void and four points loss will be the overall outcome for the tournament. I have had:

3pts win Nishikori to beat Ferrer @ 9/5 William Hill

I have not taken into consideration Ferrer winning the final. This would almost certainly be against Nadal a player he had not beaten on clay for ten years - until a couple of weeks ago! So here's hoping he can do it again. Will be having a couple more bets today which will be posted shortly.