Wimbledon semi-final

As noted this morning unless A-Rad wins tomorrow's semi final match it will have been a poor tournament. I have staked 21.5 points in total - including a bet placed back in January. My only return so far is nine points from A-Rad winning the fourth quarter. Things would have looked a little different had Bacsinszky (18/1 for the quarter) beaten Mugu, but she didn't so we are where we are.

I am completely discounting A-Rad winning the tourney as she would be a big underdog in the final against a big hitter: SW or Pova. She is the slight underdog against Mugu tomorrow. I have had a decent bet on the Spaniard with Boylesport to square up my position as follows:

12 pts Mugu to beat A-Rad, ladies'semi-final match @ 9/10 Boylesport

Total stakes 12 points.

Bear in mind two things. Firstly I would not be having the bet had I not had 3pts ew A-Rad @33/1. Secondly the match betting rules with Boyles require the match to be completed for the result to stand. So if A-Rad retires during the match the Mugu bet would be void and the 12 points refunded.

So, discounting a retirement, the tourney outcomes are as follows:

Total stakes 33.5 points 

A-Rad reaches final: returns, nine plus 52.5 = 61.5 points. Profit 28 points

Mugu reaches final: returns, nine points plus 22.8 points= 31.8 points. Loss 1.7 points

Good luck if you are involved.