We already have an interest in the well handicapped Rocky Creek at 10/1 who finished fifth last year carrying 11-05. I'm going to have another point on at the price. PF Nicholls is in tremendous form at this meeting.
It used to be that it was prudent to select horses carrying less than 11-00. In recent years the handicap has been condensed which has meant the classier horses have a better chance of winning. In four of the last six years the winner has carried 11-00 or more. So the winner has a much better chance of coming from the first dozen or so in the handicap. My second selection, like Rocky Creek, carries 11-03. This is First Lieutenant who could start shorter than the current 25/1 with the popular Nina Carberry in the saddle. Nina was faultless over the big fences yesterday.
Coral have extended their place betting this afternoon to five places so my bets are:
16:15A 1pt win Rocky Creek @ 10/1 Betfred BOG
16:15A 1pt EW First Lieutenant 25/1 Coral BOG (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)
I'll be looking at the GN specials in the morning to see if there is any value there.
Three points staked.
Sent from my iPad
Spelling mistake "French" amended 20:46
Spelling mistake "French" amended 20:46
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