Friday, 21 February 2014

25/1 shot Venus now odds on for Dubai title

When I posted on Tuesday "Can she do it again?" I was of course referring to my ill-fated bet on Simona Halep winning back-to-back tournaments. Equally I could have been referring to the other bet in that post - Venus Williams - as she was coming into Dubai having won it in 2009/10 and not having played the venue since. I felt a right prawn, just a few hours after posting, when Halep retired injured in the second set of her opening match. Her "conqueror" then was of course the 150/1 poke Cornet who now finds herself in the final having just played an epic match in defeating Serena Williams. Thankfully we have a finalist too so we are guaranteed a profit on this tournament: Total tournament stakes six points, guaranteed return (should Venus lose the final) 13.5 points.

Of course should Venus win the final we will have a further return of 26 points. 

I think Cornet has a real shot of the title judging by the way she played today. I'm inclined to just let the Venus bet run unless Cornet is 2/1 or better. My feeling is the match will be priced closer than that with the American veteran slight favourite.



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