Murray

I think the US Open champion could be up against it today so I am going to oppose him in his match with Wawrinka. Although Murray leads the H2H 8-5 their one meeting in 2013 saw the Swiss win comfortably in straight sets. (Monte Carlo, on clay though, 6-1 6-2). In addition when they last met at the US Open (in 2010) Stan won in four sets. Stan played exceptionally well in defeating the higher-ranked Berdych in the last round. 

I note that Murray has drifted considerably in the outright betting to 11/2 even though there are just six players remaining now. Of course it is the quality of the players remaining that is the problem for the Scot. Should he get past Stan he would then (in all probability) play Djoko in the semi who won his previous round 6-3 6-0 6-0 and has not really been tested yet. Nadal, who has not dropped his serve let alone a set, would probably await in the final. A tough draw indeed, hence the price drift.

Getting back to today, Mugray is often slowly away (as he was in the last round against Istomin when he lost the first set on a tie-break). Stan tends to be pretty smartly out of the traps so my two bets on the match are:

4pts Stan to win the first set against Mugray @ 9/4 Bet365

5pts Stan to beat Mugray (match betting) @ 16/5 William Hill

Nine points invested.

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