The best price for Paire is with betfair at 7.4 as I write, which is 6/1 after 5% commission. There is a risk in backing him with betfair in that if there is a retirement in the first set the market is void. So you may prefer to take 5/1 with Lads or Coral which will both settle if a point has been played. In any event this bet should only be made if you have had the advised ew stake on Federer:
3pts win Paire to beat Federer @ 7.4 Betfair (6/1 after commission)
So total stakes on Rome ATP will be 17. If Paire wins today then the overall profit will be four. If Federer wins the match it will be a modest profit of 2.5pts but we will have a free hit on the final which would produce 36pts profit should Federer beat Nadal (or Berdych). He won't be much more than 2/1 if as expected he plays Nadal on Sunday.
So total stakes on Rome ATP will be 17. If Paire wins today then the overall profit will be four. If Federer wins the match it will be a modest profit of 2.5pts but we will have a free hit on the final which would produce 36pts profit should Federer beat Nadal (or Berdych). He won't be much more than 2/1 if as expected he plays Nadal on Sunday.
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