Breeders' Cup

I have had a look through the prices of those bookmakers that lay me bets - not that many so did not take too long! Seems that only W Hill is offering BOG and NRNB at the moment. Betting in three races Friday/Saturday as follows:

1pt ew Colonel Joan to win Juvenile Fillies' Turf @ 40/1 William Hill BOG NRNB

2pts ew Obviously to win Mile (Turf) @ 14/1 William Hill BOG NRNB

0.5pts ew double above two at prices


0.5pts ew Silentio win Mile (Turf) @ 66/1 Coral

0.75pts ew Got Shades to win Juvenile Turf @ 40/1 Coral

1pt ew Kitten Kaboodle to win Juvenile Fillies' Turf @ 14/1 Coral

3 x 0.25pts ew doubles 0.25pt ew treble above three at prices


1pt ew Silver Mix to win Mile (Turf) @ 6/1 Bet365 (1/4 odds 1,2,3)

Total 15.5 points staked.

Wednesday horses

From Nottingham:

14:00N 0.75pts ew No Dominion @ 16/1 Betfred BOG

14:00N 1.5pts win Topamichi @ 6/1 Bet365 BOG

14:30N 1pt win George Fenton @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

14:30N 1.5pts ew Shawkantango @ 20/1 Coral BOG

15:05N 1.5pts win Beau Mistral @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

15:05N 0.75pts ew Alpha Delta Whisky @ 20/1 William Hill BOG

Ten points staked.

Going to a couple of betting shops to have some Breeders' Cup bets so may post something this afternoon.

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X-factor update

Please be aware that since I posted the suggested ew bet this morning on Luke Friend with Paddy Power they have changed their ew terms. They now bet an unattractive 1/3 odds 1,2 rather than 1/5 odds 1,2,3.

Consequently the value has gone. If you still wanted to get involved you'd need to bet with Ladcrooks (12/1, 1/5 odds 1,2,3 or Sportingnobet 11/1 1/4 odds 1,2,3).

X- factor

Have had a bit of success with bets on this in the past, which doesn't mean I'm going to win on it this year. I have only watched the last couple of shows and it is already down to the final ten. However only three bookmakers offer ew betting on the first three which has prompted me to take a closer look. (I haven't included the firm "Winner" and please note skybet offers win only not 1/4 1,2,3 as advertised on Oddschecker).

I make it a four or five-runner race. Tamera is a short-priced favourite (only 11/8 in places) and to me seems the most likely winner. However the cramped odds make this an attractive ew market. I have gone for Luke Friend at 14/1 with Paddy Power. Seems sufficiently different from the two other solo boys to perhaps do the best in this category. (Quite a large 9/2 with Lads for top boy).  

Rest assured I have not backed Luke because he comes from the small town where I was brought up! (Where Muse come from too). I have had:

1.5pts ew Luke Friend to win X-Factor @ 14/1 Paddy Power (1/5th odds 1,2,3)

Three points staked.

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Tuesday horses

At Wolverhampton today:

17:10W 2pts win Electric Qatar @ 4/1 Paddy Power BOG

18:10W 1pt win Funding Deficit @ 7/1 Paddy Power BOG

0.5pt ew double above two at prices.

Total four points.

Have had a bet on X-factor, will post shortly.

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Final two weeks of turf flat season

No bet today as Leicester is abandoned. Very little of interest in these final two weeks. Possibly Ayr and/or Nottingham on Wednesday. Then Nottingham and/or Doncaster next week. Other than that, the odd wager on the sand at Wolverhampton.

All figures up to date on the website. Flat racing profit + 620 points (33.4%), 2013 overall + 804 points (33.2%).

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Saturday wrap

The ups and downs of punting. Such a tremendous day yesterday with winners at 25/1 and 6/1. Then a horror show today with nil returns. Thanks to that big priced winner yesterday, we are still 27.25 points up on the week with just the tennis outright bets to be settled Sunday. Li Na takes on Serena Williams in the Istanbul final.

If, as is expected, Serena wins the final the week's profit will fall to 25.25 points, still a reasonable figure. Should the Chinese overcome the 'fatigued' American then the final profit for the week will rise to 41.75 points thanks to the 10/1 ew bet on Li Na.

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