Breeders' Cup

I have had a look through the prices of those bookmakers that lay me bets - not that many so did not take too long! Seems that only W Hill is offering BOG and NRNB at the moment. Betting in three races Friday/Saturday as follows:

1pt ew Colonel Joan to win Juvenile Fillies' Turf @ 40/1 William Hill BOG NRNB

2pts ew Obviously to win Mile (Turf) @ 14/1 William Hill BOG NRNB

0.5pts ew double above two at prices


0.5pts ew Silentio win Mile (Turf) @ 66/1 Coral

0.75pts ew Got Shades to win Juvenile Turf @ 40/1 Coral

1pt ew Kitten Kaboodle to win Juvenile Fillies' Turf @ 14/1 Coral

3 x 0.25pts ew doubles 0.25pt ew treble above three at prices


1pt ew Silver Mix to win Mile (Turf) @ 6/1 Bet365 (1/4 odds 1,2,3)

Total 15.5 points staked.

Wednesday horses

From Nottingham:

14:00N 0.75pts ew No Dominion @ 16/1 Betfred BOG

14:00N 1.5pts win Topamichi @ 6/1 Bet365 BOG

14:30N 1pt win George Fenton @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

14:30N 1.5pts ew Shawkantango @ 20/1 Coral BOG

15:05N 1.5pts win Beau Mistral @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

15:05N 0.75pts ew Alpha Delta Whisky @ 20/1 William Hill BOG

Ten points staked.

Going to a couple of betting shops to have some Breeders' Cup bets so may post something this afternoon.

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X-factor update

Please be aware that since I posted the suggested ew bet this morning on Luke Friend with Paddy Power they have changed their ew terms. They now bet an unattractive 1/3 odds 1,2 rather than 1/5 odds 1,2,3.

Consequently the value has gone. If you still wanted to get involved you'd need to bet with Ladcrooks (12/1, 1/5 odds 1,2,3 or Sportingnobet 11/1 1/4 odds 1,2,3).

X- factor

Have had a bit of success with bets on this in the past, which doesn't mean I'm going to win on it this year. I have only watched the last couple of shows and it is already down to the final ten. However only three bookmakers offer ew betting on the first three which has prompted me to take a closer look. (I haven't included the firm "Winner" and please note skybet offers win only not 1/4 1,2,3 as advertised on Oddschecker).

I make it a four or five-runner race. Tamera is a short-priced favourite (only 11/8 in places) and to me seems the most likely winner. However the cramped odds make this an attractive ew market. I have gone for Luke Friend at 14/1 with Paddy Power. Seems sufficiently different from the two other solo boys to perhaps do the best in this category. (Quite a large 9/2 with Lads for top boy).  

Rest assured I have not backed Luke because he comes from the small town where I was brought up! (Where Muse come from too). I have had:

1.5pts ew Luke Friend to win X-Factor @ 14/1 Paddy Power (1/5th odds 1,2,3)

Three points staked.

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Tuesday horses

At Wolverhampton today:

17:10W 2pts win Electric Qatar @ 4/1 Paddy Power BOG

18:10W 1pt win Funding Deficit @ 7/1 Paddy Power BOG

0.5pt ew double above two at prices.

Total four points.

Have had a bet on X-factor, will post shortly.

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Final two weeks of turf flat season

No bet today as Leicester is abandoned. Very little of interest in these final two weeks. Possibly Ayr and/or Nottingham on Wednesday. Then Nottingham and/or Doncaster next week. Other than that, the odd wager on the sand at Wolverhampton.

All figures up to date on the website. Flat racing profit + 620 points (33.4%), 2013 overall + 804 points (33.2%).

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Saturday wrap

The ups and downs of punting. Such a tremendous day yesterday with winners at 25/1 and 6/1. Then a horror show today with nil returns. Thanks to that big priced winner yesterday, we are still 27.25 points up on the week with just the tennis outright bets to be settled Sunday. Li Na takes on Serena Williams in the Istanbul final.

If, as is expected, Serena wins the final the week's profit will fall to 25.25 points, still a reasonable figure. Should the Chinese overcome the 'fatigued' American then the final profit for the week will rise to 41.75 points thanks to the 10/1 ew bet on Li Na.

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Saturday horses 3

Further selections today:

16:25D 3pts win Torchlighter @ 7/2 William Hill BOG

17:30D 2pts win Lilac Tree @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

0.75pts ew double above two at prices

17:45W 2pts win Free Spin @ 13/2 William Hill BOG

20:15W 1.5pts win Captain Midnight @ 8/1 William Hill BOG

0.5pts ew double above two at prices

Total above 11 points. That's it unless anything selected does not run, Good "luck"!

Saturday horses 2

Additional bet in Doncaster big sprint:

15:15D 3pts win Steps @ 9/1 Coral BOG

Other selections for today to follow shortly.

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Tennis summary - Istanbul

Now we know the final four and three of them are the three outright selections (PK, LN, JJ) I suggested at the beginning of the week. Problem is the fourth player is the (probably) unbeatable Serena Williams, at best a 1/5 chance to pick up the trophy on Sunday.

Total investment on the event is 16.5 points and we have had two winners so far: JJ to beat Vika, return nine points and Sara Errani to beat JJ 2-0 in sets, return seven points. Total return 16 points.

So we are certain to win on the event as Li Na (further 6.5 points) or Kvit (6.66 points) will reach the final. JJ is highly unlikely to beat Serena so I won't bother working out that particular outcome!

So no more bets on this event as we already have an interest in each of the remaining three matches through the outright wagers.

Anyway another winning week whatever happens tomorrow or Sunday......

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Saturday horses

There will be action from Doncaster and (possibly) Wolverhampton tomorrow. Early punt in the 5f race at Donny as the one I like best is attracting a bit of support:

15:15D 2pts win 1.5pts place Ballesteros @ 16/1 Bet365 (BOG), (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)

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Friday update

Li Na has won her group so will play the winner of Kerber/Kvitova in the semi-final. Li Na and JJ have thus qualified for the semis so the JJ v SE match tonight is a dead rubber. However JJ will play Serena in tomorrow's semi whereas Errani is already out before they start so is just competing in this last RR match for the notes.

If Errani wins the first set tonight I think JJ might turn it in to conserve her energy for Saturday, so I am just having a small speculative wager as follows:

19:00 1pt S Errani to beat JJ 2-0 in sets @ 6/1 Boylesports 

BTW Great result at Doncaster earlier - our 22/1 winner pays out @ 25/1 thanks to BOG!

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Tennis update

Each-way bets not looking so clever now as Kerber has found a bit of form and is favourite to beat Kvit today and thus eliminate her from the competition. In the other group Li Na will top it if she beats Vika today. The latter is slight favourite for the match though.

Depending on the outcome of the Vika match, I may have a wager in the JJ v Errani match and if I do I will post after we know the earlier result.

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Friday horses

At Doncaster and Wolverhampton:

15:10D 1.5pts win 1pt place Morache Music @ 22/1 William Hill BOG
15:10D 1.5pts win 1pt place Royal Rock @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

19:00W 1pt ew Jackie Love @ 16/1 Betfred BOG

Seven points staked.

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Kvitova v Williams

Now that Vika lost a match, must have a good chance of one of my outright selections making the final. However little chance it would seem of backing the winner as Williams has hardened in the outright market to 1/3 from 8/11 at the start.

SW plays Kvitova tonight and the latter is 5/1 or 11/2 with the bookmakers to record a first victory (0-4). Kvitova did at least win a set last time they met going down 7-5 in the third in the Qatar final. If Petra can serve well and reduce her UEs a bit she has a chance, albeit a small one. I have laid SW on betfair @ 1.13 for the match, just to lose a point which works out @ 7.3/1 KV after commission:

19:00 Lay SW @ 1.13 to lose one point on betfair.

(Risk 1pt, a KV win returns 8.3 pts after 5% commission)

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Thursday bets

Thought about going to Ludlow races tomorrow, however the fields don't look great so that will have to wait for another time. Indoor tennis instead is the call despite the fact that no rain is forecast!

On the bets front, not getting involved at Wolverhampton Thursday so it's another blank day for the horses. Going to press up a little with JJ though as follows:

15:00 2pts win Jankovic to beat Li Na @ 23/10 Boylesports

H2H is 5-4 in favour of the Chinese. LTO was a spanking for the Serb in the US Open but JJ won the three previous encounters prior to that.

Although they both won today, JJ's confidence level looked way ahead of the higher-ranked player.

If you can't get 23/10, Skybet offer 9/4. Coral go 13/8 which looks nearer the mark to me.

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Diva JJ does the business

An easy straight sets win for JJ over Vika. Although there was some early money for the Serb (including ours!) the heavy hitters stepped in at the death for Vika. In particular I noticed (and took) some 5.5 JJ on betfair about half an hour before the off. So you could say the market was wrong again. 

You get a lot of rumours during these RR matches about injuries and players not trying etc and it's best to ignore them. 

Based on their play today, I think JJ has a decent shot against Li Na tomorrow. Not seen any prices yet but 9/4-ish would interest me.

Price change

I see that PP has slashed the JJ price recommended for today's match from 7/2 to 11/4 shortly after I placed my small bet with them. She is still 10/3 with several firms or 4.8 on betfair (better than 7/2 after commission) at the time of writing.

Interestingly there was a big gamble against Kvitova in her match yesterday. She was around 8/11 to prevail against A Rad when the market opened but by the time the first ball was struck she had drifted out to 5/4 with the Pole becoming the favourite. PK won in straight sets without dropping her serve. Shows you the market is not always right!

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WTA Istanbul

I was very unimpressed with Vika's win yesterday. Errani, who has a terrible H2H with her, had massive chances to take the first set. She served for it at 5-2, 5-4 and 6-5 but could not convert. Self-belief lacking. In the second set, an injury to Errani, picked up earlier in the match, took hold so naturally Vika ran out the easy winner.

I think JJ should prove a greater test today, particularly as Vika appears to have not totally resolved her serving issues. It's worth having a small bet on the Serb as follows:

17:05 2pts win Jankovic to beat Azarenka @ 7/2 Paddy Power

JJ is 3-5 in the H2H but took Vika to three sets in their latest encounter. JJ reached the final of her last tournament, losing to Serena but beating Kvitova in the semi.

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Bets this week

No good today. Pontefract was in a bit of a state with heavy ground and false rails. Not really an excuse for my nag who finished a reasonable fifth in the end but probably failed to stay in the desperate ground. We can tell it's nearly the end of the turf flat season as there are very few meetings of interest during these last three weeks. I won't be having a bet on the flat for the next couple of days so if you tune into the blog you are likely to be confronted with the odd tennis mug punter bet! Here's another one:

2pts win Janko to win Istanbul White Group @ 7/1 Betfred 

If there is a chink in the Vika armour then Janko at the above price is a reasonable poke given her close H2H with Li Na, a 9/4 chance to top the group.

Later in the week Wolverhampton maybe of interest. And of course Doncaster might throw up something. The feature race is the RP Trophy of course and a friend reminded me today that we saw AOB's main entry (he has four) win his first race at the Curragh nine days ago. His name is Century:

WTA Championships Istanbul

The usual wealth warning as my tennis bets do not have the same record as my horse racing selections! But this is what I have done and why:

Serena is the odds-on favourite for the event (8/11 or shorter) which makes ew bets attractive with just eight runners. Kvitova, who has shown improved form late in the season, is an excellent indoor player. She is in the same group as Serena but if she can beat both Kerber and Radwanska she should go through to the semis and thus not meet Serena again until the final.

In the other group I think Azarenka is worth opposing. Following her runner-up performance in the US Open final, she had a very poor "Asian swing" losing in second and first rounds to Venus Williams and Petkovic. There are still big problems it seems with her service. Consequently I have backed both Li Na and Janko in Vika's group:

2pts ew Kvitova to win Istanbul @ 7/1 William Hill (1/3 odds 1,2)

1.5pts ew Li Na to win Istanbul @ 10/1 Betfred (1/3 odds 1,2)

0.75pts ew Jankovic to win Istanbul @ 40/1 Betfred (1/3 odds 1/2)

Total 8.5 points above.

Elsewhere Halep continues to improve winning her fifth tournament in 2013 yesterday (Moscow). She is heading for the top 15. I have had a small bet on her for the Australian Open:

0.75pts ew Simona Halep to win Aus Open @ 50/1 Betfred (1/2 odds 1/2) 

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Monday horses

Pontefract today. A bet in the first race:

14:10P 2.5pts win Breakable @ 7/1 William Hill BOG

That's it on the horses today unless the selection doesn't run. 

Perhaps unwisely, I have got involved in the WTA Championships which start in Istanbul on Tuesday. My thoughts to follow shortly.

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Weekly wrap

A losing week of just under nine points. Disappointing finish with my 'good thing' BH Lady getting chinned a neck despite being heavily supported into 2/1 favourite. Earlier Kinglami did best of my two in the impossible apprentice handicap by finishing a close fifth.

ROTW ran a great race in a fantastic Champion Stakes to finish third for each-way money.

It seems a long time since I had to report a losing week, but it had to happen I guess. No bet tomorrow, tennis beckons between the showers.

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Saturday horses

The most interesting race for me is the last at Ascot. It's also the most difficult with 27 runners (currently) and only two bookmakers offering more than four places for ew betting. So ew betting is not great value. I like these two:

16:45A 2pts win 0.5pt place Dubawi Sound @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

16:45A 1.5pts win Kinglami @ 22/1 Coral BOG

Dubawi Sound has one of the best jockeys in the race. Kinglami was unlucky not to win a rough race at Goodwood LTO and sneaks in here on bottom weight. You will probably get slightly better prices on betfair but at least with the above wagers we are protected with BOG. Last year I had one selection in this race  - Jack Dexter @ 6/1  - which won at 4/1. This renewal looks much harder though.

My other race is at Wolverhampton: 

19:50W 3pts win Burren Hill Lady @ 3/1 William Hill BOG

She is a tail swisher but likes it at Wolverhampton. She won a very similar race here 16 days ago. 

Seven points staked. 

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Friday horses 2

Big run from Hot Sugar, just run out of it close home. Headgear obviously helped, third, return 4.5 points. Other selection still blindfolded after the start and lost 20 lengths. No further bets tonight, will have another look at Ascot in the morning.

Friday horses

Very uninspiring cards today hence delay in posting. Have played the first at Wolverhampton however:

17:25W 1pt ew Hot Sugar @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
17:25W 0.5 pt ew Major Muscari @ 33/1 William Hill BOG

If I have any further bets at Wolverhampton I will post them after the above race.

Tremendous racing in prospect at Ascot tomorrow of course and I have opposed the favourite in the Champion Stakes as follows:

16:05A 1.5pts ew Ruler Of The World @ 8/1 Bet365 (1/4 odds 1,2,3) BOG

I am interested in another race on the card but am waiting for all the bookmakers to price it up before getting involved. May post something later today...

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Profits update

No "luck" today. No horse bets tomorrow. Possible bets from Haydock and/or Wolverhampton on Friday.

All results up to date now on the website:

Totals 2013: http://www.mikequigley.co.uk/Blog-bets-2013.php 33.6% ROI

Flat season 2013: http://www.mikequigley.co.uk/Flat-Season-2013.php 33.9% ROI

Counting down to the end of the turf flat season on Saturday 9 November....... 

 

Wednesday horses

Just one race today:

14:40N 0.75pts ew Habdab @ 18/1 William Hill BOG
14:40N 0.75pts ew Perfect Choice @ 14/1 Betfred BOG

Three points staked

Tuesday Racing

Travelling tomorrow so very little time to bet and/or post. So have had a couple of speculative wagers at Newcastle:

16:30New 0.75pts ew Roker Park @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

17:00New 0.5pts ew Mission Impossible @ 33/1 Bet365 BOG
17:00New 0.75pts ew Lucky Lodge @ 14/1 Betfred BOG

Total four points.

That is probably it but I can't say with 100% certainty!

Monday

A winning week of around seven points. Will update the figures later in the week. No bets today though.

Sunday horses 2

In the absence of one of my selections I am going for Cathy Gannon on this one:

16:45G 1pt ew The Confessor @ 10/1 William Hill BOG

Sunday horses

No damage Saturday with places @ 33/1 and 11/1 plus a non-runner so we are certain to show a small profit on the week whatever the outcome on Sunday, as I am only interested in one race. That is at Goodwood:

16:45G 3pts win 2pts place Joe Packet @ 9/1 Coral BOG
16:45G 0.5pts ew Colonel Maddox @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG

Joe has the superb Ryan Moore in the saddle.

Six points staked.

Saturday horses

At Wolverhampton this evening:

17:40W 1.5pts win Whipphound @ 6/1 William Hill BOG
17:40W 0.5pts ew Hamis Al Bin @ 14/1 William Hill BOGBOG

18:20W 1.5 pts win The Dukkerer @  4/1  Paddy Power BOG
18:20W 0.5pts ew Black Geronimo @ 33/1 William Hill BOGBOG

18:50W 1pt ew Clapperboard @ 11/1 Paddy Power BOG
18:50W 0.5pt straight forecast Shyron to beat Clapperboard (W Hill)

Total 7.5 points.

Friday wrap

Back in the winners' enclosure thanks to Fat Gary tonight. Didn't see or hear the race as I was in La Mer Zou (Dublin) taking advantage of their early bird offering. Off to Fairyhouse tomorrow for a few tote bets. However I may well get involved with Wolverhampton again as we enjoyed a bit of success there today.

Very strange the way the two selections were backed: 6/1 > 9/4 and 12/1> 11/4! That certainly wasn't because of my modest investments!

Friday horses

Today ended up almost a push as we dropped about a third of a point. The ew poke was placed but the returns were subject to a 25p rule 4 deduction. 

Bit disappointed with the outcome as I might have been able to make more of Ayr on the blog had I not been travelling for most of the day. 

As for tomorrow only Wolverhampton is of any interest:

18:40W 2pts win Fat Gary @ 6/1 Bet365 BOG

19:10W 0.75pts ew You're The Boss @ 12/1 Bet365 BOG

3.5pts staked.

We were on Fat Gary LTO at Goodwood (we were also on the winner in his race) when he ran a fair race in what was a higher grade. 

Looking ahead to the weekend there may not be that many races under consideration. Wolverhampton again on Saturday is possible and Sunday's Goodwood fixture could throw up something.

Thursday horses

Blank day yesterday, low key day today:

14:40A 1.5pts win Red Cobra @ 6/1 William Hill BOG

15:10A 0.75pts ew Little Jimmy Odsox @ 14/1 William Hill BOG

 Three points staked.

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Wednesday horses

Bets at Nottingham tomorrow:

15:00No 3pts win Searchlight @ 9/2 William Hill BOG

15:00No 0.75pt reverse forecast above with Sleepy Sioux (W Hill)

16:30No 1.5pts win 1pt place Charitable Act @ 10/1 Bet365 BOG

16:39No 0.75pt ew Master Of Song @ 20/1 Betfred BOG

No further selections unless any of the above are non-runners.

Total 8.5 points.

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Tuesday wrap

Losing day with returns just one 16/1 place (1/4 odds) and one NR (2.5pts Big Picture). Total return 6.25 points, loss on day 3.75 points. Carry forward profit for the week to Wednesday = +3 points. Nottingham tomorrow.

Tuesday horses

Nice winner at Ponte @ 6/1 yesterday but no joy at Wolverhampton. Today's bets:

16:10L 1.5pts win Tychaois @ 9/1 Bet365 BOG
16:10L 0.75pts ew Methaaly @ 16/1 Betfred BOG

17:45L 1.5pts win 1pt place Bigger Picture @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
17:45L 0.75pts ew Rough Rock @ 25/1 William Hill BOG

18:40W 0.75pts ew Top Boy @ 12/1 Paddy Power BOG
18:40W 0.75pts ew Rylee Mooch @ 16/1Betfred BOG

Ten points staked.

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Monday horses 2

Two races at Wolverhampton as follows:

16:00W 1pt ew Monty Fay @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

16:30W 0.75pts ew Clear Praise @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

16:30W 0.75pts win Piddie's Power @ 9/1 Skybet 

Total 4.25 points

 PS Party Royal has just obliged at Ponte by a head...

Monday horses

One race at Pontefract today:

15:10P 2pts win Party Royal @ 6/1 Betfred BOG

15:10P 1pt win Polar Chief @ 10/1 Betfred BOG

I may have a bet at Wolverhampton but I want to see how the track is running in the first couple of races before I decide. I will post around 15:00-15:15 if I get involved. 

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Sunday

Poor race for us at Ascot yesterday moving the profit down to 1.3 points on the week. Just going with my three outside pokes already advised for Longchamp today at :25/1, 25/1 and 50/1. Exposure is 6.5 points. Obviously one place would do us. Arc of course massively competitive. Remember if you are not supporting either of the two Japanese horses there may be some value on the Paris Mutuel on any other selections you might pick out for the Arc. So remember to have a look at the potential tote returns before playing.

Good luck if you are getting involved.

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Further Arc bet

Had another look at the horses drawn lower than my ante-post selection Leading Light. The only one I can make a case for is the ex-Fabre trained Meandre. Has run well in the race before when not particularly well drawn. Interestingly is best priced with Paddy Power who are one of only two bookmakers that currently offers four places for ew backers. Don't think it will win but must have chance of reaching the first four:

0.75pts ew Meandre to win the Arc @ 50/1 Paddy Power (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4)

1.5pts staked

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Prix De L` Abbeye

I shall look forward to seeing this sprint on TV on Sunday. I could not see anything when on track last year. It was as if the race was taking place in another county.

I've had a bet and will probably have another one tomorrow. The first bet is as follows:

1pt ew Hamza to win L'Abbeye @ 25/1 Betfred (1/4 odds 1,2,3)

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Saturday horses

Been out of touch for a bit. Hence no posts since the first race at Wolverhampton last evening.

Despite the quantity of meetings tomorrow, it looks like I may only be interested in one race. I have had an early play on two runners against the field in the 7f  handicap at Ascot as follows:

15:50A 2.5pts win 1.5pts place Sirius Prospect @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
15:50A 2pts win Big Johnny D @ 8/1 Coral BOG

Total six points.

Elsewhere my ante-post choice in the Arc, Leading Light, has been drawn five. Historically it has been an advantage to be drawn in the first six. In fact in the last nine years only once has the winner been drawn higher than six - Workforce drawn eight in 2010. However the horses drawn 1-4 this year would all appear to be rags (they are available at 66/1 or more with the bookmakers and much bigger prices on betfair). I have only had 1.5 pts ew @ 25/1 LL. However if you did not get this I would not put you off a small bet with Coral @ 20/1.

I may post a couple more bets tomorrow but they are likely to be at Longchamp rather than on UK racing.

Thursday horses

Just one small bet today:

17:40W 0.75 pts ew Emily Davison @ 12/1 W Hill BOG

 1.5 pts staked, that's it.
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Secret saunters in at Salisbury

After the disappointment of yesterday I thought we were in for more misery after rubbish results at Nottingham and Newcastle. Fortunately Salisbury came to the rescue and the heavy rain certainly suited the main selection Magic Secret who led most of the way. The second selection in the race was the runner-up.

Quite a few withdrawals because of the ground so we did not get paid at the 22/1 taken. A 25p rule 4 is applied reducing the odds to 16.5/1. Still better than the 14/1 SP though.

Day's profit = 12.8 points, accumulative on the week is therefore a modest 8.8 points.

Off to the London Racing Club preview of the ARC (and other international races) tomorrow but will be looking at (only) Wolverhampton tomorrow.

Meanwhile Leading Light is 16/1 for the ARC from the 25/1 taken (Ladbrokes only 10/1)

Wednesday horses 2

At Nottingham and Newcastle:

15:00No 1pt ew Dancing Ciara @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

16:40No 1.5pts win Al Mukhdam @ 8/1 Bet365 BOG

15:45Ne 1pt win Imaginary World @ 15/2 Paddy Power BOG

16:50Ne 0.75pts ew Mccool Bannanas @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG

Any further bets at Newcastle will be posted around 17:00

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Wednesday horses

Horrible day yesterday, now four points down on the week. Salisbury is venue for first wagers today:

17:00S 1pt ew Magic Secret @ 22/1 William Hill BOG

17:05S 1pt win Pivotal Movement @ 12/1 William Hill BOG

More selections to follow.

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Tuesday horses 2

Selections at Ayr:

14:10A 1.5pts win Chookie's Lass @ 9/2 Paddy Power BOG (5/1 in places)

16:25A 0.75pts ew Poetic Belle @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

17:00A 2pts win 1pt place Cheeky Wee Red @ 8/1 William Hill BOG 

Total at Ayr six points.

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Tuesday horses

Strange market with yesterday's winner Marmalady. Hill and Lad opening early price was 11/4. I took 5/1 BOG yet SP was a huge 7/1, which we are paid thanks to BOG. Profit on the day seven points.

Starting today with this evening's meeting at Kempton:

20:50K 2pts win 1pt place Jarrow @ 16/1 William Hill BOG

21:20K 1pt ew Haadeeth @ 14/1 Bet365 BOG

Five points staked, Ayr to follow.

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