"Laura: I'm like, you go girl!" (teenage fan, anon)
Well teenage fan she did go and she did beat Li Na. A very mature performance particularly when she was at the wrong end of some suspect line calls/umpire decisions at crucial moments. I had a feeling that Li Na would not cope with this match up. I had invested 12 points on Li Na on the outright market (3ew @ 33/1 and 4w 2p @ 25/1). So thankfully the 2pts @ 8.52 Laura for the match wins 15 points to more than pay for the Li outright investment.
We just have Angie Kerber in the outright now. However Vinci could surprise us all by winning Angie's quarter @ the 100/1 taken! She saved match points in the last round getting past the "Shed".
Finally a good day on the horses - two wins from five selections: Tom Sawyer and Ronaldinho, 7/2 and 9/2. Stakes nine points, returns 25.68 points. Happy day(s).
Blog bets service: 08/12/2009 - 31/12/2016. Total stakes 7,543 points, profit 1,622 points (+ 21.50%)
Friday, 31 August 2012
Laura Robson 2
Win or lose against Li Na this girl is going places! She will be a veteran come Wimbledon 2013 at the ripe old age of 19. Remember she won junior Wimbledon aged 14.
1.5pts ew Laura Robson to win Wimbledon 2013 @ 200/1 Paddy Power (1/2 odds 1,2)
Three points staked.
Also available at 200/1 with WH. Some firm called "You Win" will give you 500/1 - will they be operating in July 2013 I wonder.
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Sent from my iPad
Friday horses continued
Have been out of internet contact since early morning (until 14:30ish). Hopefully you will have guessed I was going to back Tom Sawyer in the absence of Whitecrest. Anyway just managed to post the bet @ betfair SP which only returned 4.78 or 4.59 after commission. You could have got 7/1 early doors. Hope you were on.
Two bets at Salisbury:
16:30Sal 1pt ew Marvo @ 20/1 Betfred BOG
18:05Sal 3pts win Ronaldinho @ 9/2 William Hill BOG
Two bets at Salisbury:
16:30Sal 1pt ew Marvo @ 20/1 Betfred BOG
18:05Sal 3pts win Ronaldinho @ 9/2 William Hill BOG
Friday horses 2
15:50T 1pt win Tidals Bay @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
14:20S 1pt win Ishi Honest @ 11/1 Betfred BOG
Probably bets at Salisbury tonight
14:20S 1pt win Ishi Honest @ 11/1 Betfred BOG
Probably bets at Salisbury tonight
Thursday, 30 August 2012
Thursday horses 3
Tiger Cub obliges at Lingfield (8/1, SP 6/1) to perk up the afternoon. Interest in one race tonight at Kempton as follows:
21:20K 1.5pts win Bint Alzain @ 15/2 William Hill BOG
21:20K 1pt ew Russian Ice @ 11/1 Stan James
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Sent from my iPad
Laura Robson
A terrific match last night between Kim Clijsters and Laura Robson. If you did not see it (and have the opportunity) the highlights will be on Eurosport this afternoon. It wasn't that Kim played poorly. We know she is not as good as she was but the last time she lost at the US Open Laura was nine years old.
Laura plays Li Na next who has not played brilliantly in the first two rounds. The Chinese has a good record against lefties so I am hopeful that she will be able to cope with the teenager's much improved game and make further progress in the tournament. There are of course potentially much bigger tests for the outright selection ahead.
I have had a small match bet on Robson as I fear she could win:
2pts win Laura Robson to beat Li Na @ 8.52 Pinnacle Sports
If you don't have an account with Pinnacle similar prices are available on the "exchanges"
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Sent from my iPad
Thursday horses 2
Two at Lingfield:
16:35L 3pts win Imjin River @ 13/2 William Hill BOG
17:05L 2pts win Tiger Cub @ 8/1 Stan James
Some tennis thoughts coming next
16:35L 3pts win Imjin River @ 13/2 William Hill BOG
17:05L 2pts win Tiger Cub @ 8/1 Stan James
Some tennis thoughts coming next
Wednesday, 29 August 2012
Wednesday horses
Not very interesting racing today. One race at Kempton of minor interest:
20:20K 3pts win Mizwaaj @ 2/1 William Hill BOG
20:20K 0.5pt ew Shifting Star @ 33/1 Skybet
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Sent from my iPad
Tuesday, 28 August 2012
Tuesday horses
Just the one race today at Ripon. Have played a little forecast bet too as this will be it for the day:
16:45R 3pts win Horatio Carter @ 11/2 William Hill BOG
16:45R 0.5pt reverse forecast Horatio Carter with Flipping (WH)
16:45R 6 x 0.2pt combination forecast above two with Daunt (WH)
Total staked 5.2pts
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Sent from my iPad
Monday, 27 August 2012
Monday review
Loads of bets but no winners. Four placed horses limited the damage to a loss of just over five points on the day: P16/1 (r4 10p), P16/1 (took 10/1 BOG), P14/1 (r4 20p), P11/1. The latter was the closest we came to a winner - Defence Council went down by a rapidly diminishing head in the 17:45N
Not intending to get very involved tomorrow, off to Presteigne festival for some classical inspiration. Maybe one race at Ripon.
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Not intending to get very involved tomorrow, off to Presteigne festival for some classical inspiration. Maybe one race at Ripon.
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Re US Open dark horse
Here is a dark horse for the ladies' event. A player that reached the quarters last year. She has been injured and off the track between April and August, recently returning for just two warm-up matches. Won one, lost one. She has no chance of winning the US Open but that has not stopped me having a couple of quid @ 480.0 on betfair! The bet is:
1pt win Andrea Petkovic to win second quarter @ 40/1 Coral
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Monday horses 2
Newcastle:
16:00N 1.5pts win 1pt place Foreign Rhythm @ 14/1 Stan James
17:45N 1.5pts win 1pt place Defence Council @ 11/1 William Hill BOG
Chepstow:
14:40C 1pt ew Plexolini @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG
16:25C 2pts win 1pt place Tweet Lady @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
17:00C 0.75pt ew Trio Of Trix @ 50/1 Betfred BOG
17:00C 2pts win 1pt place Rafella @ 16/1 William Hill BOG
Possible further selections 15:25N and last two races at Chepstow. Latter may not be posted until after 17:00C race.
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Sent from my iPad
Monday horses
Ripon, Newcastle and Chepstow today. First race is at Ripon:
15:35R 1.5pts ew St Moritz @ 10/1 Paddy Power BOG
15:35R 1.5pts win Compton @ 3/1 William Hill BOG
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Saturday, 25 August 2012
Ladies' US Open
For once I cannot complain about the draw. My two main hopes Li Na and Kerber have been drawn in opposite halves. What's more the number one hope Li Na is in the opposite half to the hot favourite Serena which gives chances for my ew punts. The bookmakers think so too and the Chinese is now around the 11/1 mark from the 33s and 25s taken. One could say that it's worked out even better for Serena though as besides Li Na, Aza, Kvitova and Pova are all in the top half.
In Kerber's quarter (fourth) the betting is between her and Radwanska to win that section. The latter is carrying a shoulder injury though so I have hopes that AK can reach the semi to play Serena for a place in the final. However I have just been in Ludlow's Betfred shop - a blight on the market square - but needs must. As I was only allowed 20p on the net, I have had a very speculative cash bet on the winner of this week's (weak) Dallas tournament as follows:
1pt win Roberta Vinci @ 100/1 to win fourth quarter US open singles Betfred
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Sent from my iPad
Friday, 24 August 2012
Friday review
Quite a strange hectic day, but successful. The first two selections I put up were substantially backed. The Mccredie pig ended up tailed off but as 3/1 favourite - I took 11/1 with WH but despite this they briefly went 12/1 before the plunge. Dark Opal was a better outcome. On at 14/1 with a 15p rule 4 taking the price down to 11.9-1 but still way ahead of the 7/1 SP. And it won!
Of the other selections we had a non-runner, one pulled up, a place at 8/1 and last but not least 11/4 winner Lady Del Sol to end proceedings (SP 2/1) in the last at Hamilton.
All of this means a 20.08 point profit today to add to yesterday's spoils of 18.8 points profit. That pulls us back from a poor period.
I think my horse racing strategy is far more successful when there is a bit of rain about. Unfortunately I am not anticipating a horse bet tomorrow despite the weather.
Of the other selections we had a non-runner, one pulled up, a place at 8/1 and last but not least 11/4 winner Lady Del Sol to end proceedings (SP 2/1) in the last at Hamilton.
All of this means a 20.08 point profit today to add to yesterday's spoils of 18.8 points profit. That pulls us back from a poor period.
I think my horse racing strategy is far more successful when there is a bit of rain about. Unfortunately I am not anticipating a horse bet tomorrow despite the weather.
Friday horses 3
Some more bets, probably too many:
19:30N 3pts win Sovereign Street @ 5/2 William Hill BOG
18:05H 2pts win 1pt place Lord Franklin @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
20:10H 3pts win Lady Del Sol @ 11/4 Paddy Power BOG
19:50G 2pts win Tinzapeas @ 12/1 Betfred BOG
19:30N 3pts win Sovereign Street @ 5/2 William Hill BOG
18:05H 2pts win 1pt place Lord Franklin @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
20:10H 3pts win Lady Del Sol @ 11/4 Paddy Power BOG
19:50G 2pts win Tinzapeas @ 12/1 Betfred BOG
Friday horses
First two bets are from Newcastle:
16:45N 3pts win 1pt place Needy Mccredie @ 11/1 William Hill BOG
17:20N 1.5pts win 1pt place Dark Opal @14/1 Skybet
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Sent from my iPad
Thursday, 23 August 2012
Thursday update
Have been overdue a favourable result on the horses. Best bet of the day, Juarla, trots up @ 9/2 having taken 9/1. What's more no rule 4 deductions which means close to 20 points profit.
Small interest tonight but could be quite a bit of action tomorrow night with Newcastle, Hamilton and Goodwood all possible venues for wagers.
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Small interest tonight but could be quite a bit of action tomorrow night with Newcastle, Hamilton and Goodwood all possible venues for wagers.
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Thursday horses
At Bath and Folkestone:
15:25B 2pts win 1pt place Juarla @ 9/1 Bet365 BOG
18:40F 1pt win Serene Oasis @ 7/1 Paddy Power BOG
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Wednesday, 22 August 2012
Lingfield
Touched off a neck for a good priced double at Lingfield. Rule 4 on the winner means odds reduced to 2.55-1. The other one (second) backed from 9/2 to 11/4 and couldn't get up close home.
No confidence behind the Kempton selection so not holding out much hope.....
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No confidence behind the Kempton selection so not holding out much hope.....
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Wednesday horses
Lingfield:
15:55L Cappadocia 2pts win @ 9/2
17:05L Drift And Dream 2pts win @ 3/1
Plus one point ew double above two prices
All with Skybet
15:55L Cappadocia 2pts win @ 9/2
17:05L Drift And Dream 2pts win @ 3/1
Plus one point ew double above two prices
All with Skybet
Monday, 20 August 2012
Monday horses 2
Further bets:
17:00T 1pt win Betsy @ 16/1 William Hill BOG
17:00T 1pt win Foreign Rhythm @ 10/1 Stan James
18:20K 1pt ew Shirley's Pride @ 9/1 Stan James
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Monday horses
First bet at Thirsk:
15:00T 2.5pts win Defence Council @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
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Sent from my iPad
Sunday, 19 August 2012
US Open tennis 3
Li Na wins a topsy turvy final in Cincinnati. New coach Carlos Rodriguez plays a big part in my opinion pulling things around after the loss of the first set 6-1. Greatest thing though about Carlos being Li's coach is hubby NOT being coach!
Neither Li Na (or Kerber) plays New Haven next week which is sensible. Plenty of time for Carlos to have further influence. Kvitova, Radwanska do play New Haven and will be overplayed come the US Open start on Monday week. Doubts about Sharapova, who has not played since the Olympics. I am topping up on Li Na with Paddy Power:
4pts win 2pt place Li Na to win US Open @ 25/1 Paddy Power (1/2 odds 1,2)
Also available at William Hill
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Sunday horses
At Pontefract:
16:15P 3pts win Asatir @ 10/3 Betfred BOG
16:15P 1pt ew Nameitwhatyoulike @ 11/1 Ladbrokes BOG
LI Na and Angelique Kerber will contest the Cincinnati final having won their respective semi-finals overnight. Given that she took out Kvitova, following her win over Serena, I think Kerber worth an additional small bet for the US Open:
1.5pts win Angelique Kerber to win US Open @ 25/1 William Hill
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1.5pts win Angelique Kerber to win US Open @ 25/1 William Hill
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Saturday, 18 August 2012
Saturday review
Disaster. Plenty of good value losers. Majestic Dream backed from 10/1 to 9/2 JT favourite. Last. Bertiewhittle from 12/1 to 7/1 tailed off. Jarrow 9/1 to 7/1 never in it. Harry Trotter 9/2 to 15/8f. Second. Leadenhall Lass 13/2 to 5/1. Second. And so it goes on.
Maybe one race tomorrow but priority will be tennis court.
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Maybe one race tomorrow but priority will be tennis court.
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US Open tennis 2
And not forgetting the still improving Angelique who overcame Big Mama last night in straight sets:
1pt ew A Kerber to win US Open @ 25/1 Paddy Power (1/2 odds 1,2)
Li Na the main bet though. Cut by Ladbrokes to 25s but still 33s with skybet if you can get on. I was offered £1.52p at the price.
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US Open tennis
We have an interest in the men's event with 14/1 Fed to win two grand slam events this year @ 14/1.
For the women's event Serena Williams is around even money whereas the holder - Sam Stosur - is 50/1. Perhaps shows us we were a bit unlucky last year when on the younger Williams sister at a big price. Anyway enough of that.
Li Na has just employed Henin's old coach and that might just bring the improvement needed to win another grand slam. Judging by her demolition of Aggie last night it looks like it's already providing dividends. Li's husband obviously takes no further part!
Talking of Stosur she was turned over by Venus in three sets last night. Venus increasingly looking like she is getting back to somewhere near her best. My antepost bets as follows:
3pts ew Li Na US Open @ 33/1 Ladbrokes (1/2 1,2)
1pt win V Williams US Open @ 70.0 Pinnacle Sports
Total seven points
For the women's event Serena Williams is around even money whereas the holder - Sam Stosur - is 50/1. Perhaps shows us we were a bit unlucky last year when on the younger Williams sister at a big price. Anyway enough of that.
Li Na has just employed Henin's old coach and that might just bring the improvement needed to win another grand slam. Judging by her demolition of Aggie last night it looks like it's already providing dividends. Li's husband obviously takes no further part!
Talking of Stosur she was turned over by Venus in three sets last night. Venus increasingly looking like she is getting back to somewhere near her best. My antepost bets as follows:
3pts ew Li Na US Open @ 33/1 Ladbrokes (1/2 1,2)
1pt win V Williams US Open @ 70.0 Pinnacle Sports
Total seven points
Saturday horses 2
Further selections today which include Jarrow who landed a gamble when we were on at Sandown earlier in the season :
14:25C 4pts win Uncomplicated @ 7/2 William Hill BOG
17:15C 2pts win Harry Trotter @ 9/2 Paddy Power BOG
16:25D 2pts win 1pt place Jarrow @ 9/1 William Hill BOG
17:25L 2pts win Leadenhall Lass @ 13/2 William Hill BOG
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Sent from my iPad
Saturday horses
Another Ripon race where ground is now good, good to soft in places:
14:55R 3pts win 1pt place Majestic Dream @ 10/1 William Hill BOG
14:55R 1.5pts ew L'Astre De Choisir @ 33/1 Coral
More to follow
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Sent from my iPad
Friday, 17 August 2012
Great St Wilfred Handicap 15:30 Ripon
Ground is good at Ripon as I write but this could change by the morning as heavy overnight rain is forecast. Whatever the ground the main debate will be about which side of the track is favoured. Eight of last ten years it has been the far side (low), but not last year.
My initial thought is to back Bertiewhittle (drawn one) at 12/1 with WH. One of the David Barron quartet (which includes one of the Pricewise selections Colonel Mak). The inform Harry Bentley takes the ride and with his 3lb off the selection will carry only 8-6. First bet for Saturday more, I am sure, will follow:
15:30R 2.5pts win 1pt place Bertiewhittle @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
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Sent from my iPad
Friday horses 3
At Kempton tonight:
20:50K 2pts win Dubai Sunshine @ 10/1 Skybet BOG
20:50K 1.5pt win Serena Oasis @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
20:50K 2pts win Dubai Sunshine @ 10/1 Skybet BOG
20:50K 1.5pt win Serena Oasis @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
Friday horses
Action from Newcastle and Nottingham:
15:15No 2pts win 1pt place Ladydolly @ 12/1
15:35Ne 2.5pts win Fieldgunner Kirkup @ 8/1
17:15Ne 3.5pts win Meandmyshadow @ 3/1
3 x 0.5pt win doubles and 0.5pt ew treble
All with William Hill and include BOG protection.
Total 11.5 points staked.
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Sent from my iPad
Thursday, 16 August 2012
Thursday review
A good day. Profits at Beverley and Chepstow. At the latter the 9/2 winner Tanforan became a 3.15-1 shot after the inevitable rule four kicked in. Just slipped up with the Gypsy stuff. They seldom win when they drift that badly...15 points in front for the day though.
Action at Newcastle, Nottingham and possibly at Kempton tomorrow.
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Action at Newcastle, Nottingham and possibly at Kempton tomorrow.
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Thursday horses 3
First and second in our Beverley race and no rule 4 for a change. Very hard to judge staking in advance as some of the fields are cutting up by 50% these days. Liked the look of Gypsy Rider at Chepstow but has been drifting like a barge. Still 7/1 or greater despite four non-runners. Just going to have a small bet:
18:50C 1.5pts win Gypsy Rider @ 7/1 Bet365 BOG
You may well get a better price with one of the muppet firms that just tracks betfair
18:50C 1.5pts win Gypsy Rider @ 7/1 Bet365 BOG
You may well get a better price with one of the muppet firms that just tracks betfair
Thursday horses 2
At Beverley:
15:05B 2pts win Hunting Rights @ 10/3 Stan James
15:05B 1.5pts win 1pt place Brazilian Clown @ 10/1 William Hill BOG
Possible further bet at Chepstow.
15:05B 2pts win Hunting Rights @ 10/3 Stan James
15:05B 1.5pts win 1pt place Brazilian Clown @ 10/1 William Hill BOG
Possible further bet at Chepstow.
Wednesday, 15 August 2012
Wednesday review
Strange ride by Hughes on Dare To Dream. Never ever put the horse in the race. Interestingly there was late money for the stable companion - ridden by RLM - which finished as runner up just a head away from winning. Hmm.
When the Salisbury failure was followed by our first Kempton runner Kinglami leading by five lengths at the furlong pole (and losing on the line), I thought it was going to be a horrible day. However Glass Office and Intransigent both won well albeit with rule four deductions for significant non-runners.
In the end I lost half a point on the day - what a waste of time!
Tomorrow I expect to be involved at Chepstow and Beverley.
When the Salisbury failure was followed by our first Kempton runner Kinglami leading by five lengths at the furlong pole (and losing on the line), I thought it was going to be a horrible day. However Glass Office and Intransigent both won well albeit with rule four deductions for significant non-runners.
In the end I lost half a point on the day - what a waste of time!
Tomorrow I expect to be involved at Chepstow and Beverley.
Wednesday horses 4
Not quite finished:
Additional 1.5pts ew Dozy Joe 20.35K @ 13/2 with Paddy Power BOG
Additional 1.5pts ew Dozy Joe 20.35K @ 13/2 with Paddy Power BOG
Wednesday horses 3
Final race from Kempton:
18:05K 2pts win Kinglami @ 3/1 Ladbrokes BOG
18:05K 1pt ew Compton Crofter @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
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Sent from my iPad
Julia Goerges
Half of last twelve visitors to the blog were more interested in the photograph of JG posted back in February than the betting exploits published since! Judges!
They are from all over the world:
Chester, Cheshire
Meteren, Gelderland
Vigo, Galicia
Karachi, Sindh
Edmonton, Alberta
Brazil
Welcome all!
http://mikequigley.blogspot.nl/2012/02/julia-goerges-2.html
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They are from all over the world:
Chester, Cheshire
Meteren, Gelderland
Vigo, Galicia
Karachi, Sindh
Edmonton, Alberta
Brazil
Welcome all!
http://mikequigley.blogspot.nl/2012/02/julia-goerges-2.html
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Wednesday horses 2
More from Kempton:
19:35K 2pts win Glass Office @ 7/2 Coral
20:35K 2pts win Dozy Joe @ 7/1 Betfred BOG
20:35K 2pts win Leelu @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
Possibly one more race to follow.
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Sent from my iPad
Tuesday, 14 August 2012
Wednesday horses
All washed up at Bath today (save for one NR) so on to Sailsbury and Kempton tomorrow. Hughsie looks the one to be on in the 15:35:
15:35S 4pts win Dare To Dream @ 5/1 William Hill BOG
And at Kempton:
20:05K 4pts win Intransigent @ 3/1 Paddy Power BOG
Additional bets in the morning.
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Tuesday horses 2
Further race at Bath:
15:30B 3pts win Khefyn @ 7/2 William Hill BOG
15:30B 0.5pt win Madam Moreton @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
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Sent from my iPad
Tuesday horses
First race today is at Bath:
16:00B 2.5pts win 1pt place Signifier @ 9/1 Betfred BOG
16:00B 0.5pt ew Blanc De Chine @ 14/1 Skybet
Total 4.5 points.
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Total 4.5 points.
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Monday, 13 August 2012
Monday review
There is even worse news than a blank day today with Majestic Zafeen being done a short-head on the line at Kempton. Worse news? Yes, if you've not seen the front cover of Tuesday's RP you have a treat install. Clare Balding is to front C4 racing from Jan 2013. You may well be a fan but having kicked football into touch I can see terrestrial racing going the same way.
Only Willie would have been worse!
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Only Willie would have been worse!
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Monday horses 2
Further race at Kempton:
16:00K 2pts win Purley Queen @ 6/1 William Hill BOG
16:00K 1.5pts win Majestic Zafeen @ 7/1 Betfred BOG
Check betfair for possibly higher quotes.
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Sent from my iPad
Monday horses
Are at Thirsk and Kempton:
17:50T 1pt ew Amadeus Denton @ 25/1 Paddy Power BOG
17:50T 1pt win Just Like Heaven @ 13/2 Betfred BOG
16:30K 4pts win Plum Bay @ 7/2 Paddy Power BOG
Possible further bets at Kempton.
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Sent from my iPad
Football season 2012-13
For the first time in more than 20 years I have not bought the Racing Post "pull-out" guide to the forthcoming football season. Part of my "legacy" of the Olympics is my realisation of how much I hate our national game.
The thought of MOD on the horizon fills me with absolute horror.
The Olympics has confirmed how much I hate everything about football, from its tribal fans with their ludicrous deluded possession of the players and the clubs to the money grabbing low-life players themselves: Rooney, Tevez, Terry.
I have made a good start, post Olympics. I didn't watch a single minute of the Community Shield yesterday even though I was ill in bed and it would have been easy to do so. I did not back Tevez or Torres for TGS when I discovered they had scored. I have not had a football ante-post bet and I do not intend to.
I will have to spend all the time saved from not watching football either in the gym or on the tennis court. A far better prospect than wasting two hours waiting for some (usually) thoroughly unpleasant characters to score a couple of goals.
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The thought of MOD on the horizon fills me with absolute horror.
The Olympics has confirmed how much I hate everything about football, from its tribal fans with their ludicrous deluded possession of the players and the clubs to the money grabbing low-life players themselves: Rooney, Tevez, Terry.
I have made a good start, post Olympics. I didn't watch a single minute of the Community Shield yesterday even though I was ill in bed and it would have been easy to do so. I did not back Tevez or Torres for TGS when I discovered they had scored. I have not had a football ante-post bet and I do not intend to.
I will have to spend all the time saved from not watching football either in the gym or on the tennis court. A far better prospect than wasting two hours waiting for some (usually) thoroughly unpleasant characters to score a couple of goals.
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Olympics
How we laughed when the parody of the Olympic organising committee talked Jube-Olympics, sustainability and legacy. Now the Olympics have been and gone. I feel privileged to have been a spectator, having witnessed (almost certainly) the best two Olympic tennis matches to take place - The Fed v Delpo and Mugray v Djoko.
As for the betting? A disaster: too much staked and no returns.
What now for the magnificent Olympic Park buildings: the Stadium, the Aquatics Centre, the Velodrome?
Legacy?
"We shape our buildings; thereafter they shape us" - Winston Churchill
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Sunday, 12 August 2012
Sunday review
Out of jail in the last again as Mayo Lad gets up in the shadow of the post. Backed from 9/4 to 6/4. The other Irish-named horse Irish Boy was backed from 9/2 to 11/4 and just failed to get up by a neck. Superior jock on the winner. No damage on the day though.
Sunday horses 2
An "Irish" double at Leicester:
16:45L 2pts win Irish Boy @ 9/2 Stan James
17:15L 3pts win Mayo Lad @ 9/4 888/Blue Square
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16:45L 2pts win Irish Boy @ 9/2 Stan James
17:15L 3pts win Mayo Lad @ 9/4 888/Blue Square
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Sunday horses
From Folkestone:
14:30F 1.5pts win Space Station @ 7/1 Betfred BOG
14:30F 0.75pts ew Dark Lane @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
16:00F 1pt win Love You Louis @ 5/1 Coral
Leicester to follow.
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14:30F 1.5pts win Space Station @ 7/1 Betfred BOG
14:30F 0.75pts ew Dark Lane @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
16:00F 1pt win Love You Louis @ 5/1 Coral
Leicester to follow.
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Saturday, 11 August 2012
Saturday review
Been ill last two/three days so don't know how I managed to come up with so many losers today. It all went horribly wrong at Ascot. I hope, like me, you made a rash judgement and had more on the last selection than the recommended 1.5pts. Not a sensible strategy I admit but when needs must....
Still lost a few points on the day but could have been a lot worse.
Still lost a few points on the day but could have been a lot worse.
Saturday horses
Despite the team bet on GB/Ireland I think Hayley could go well and particularly like her rides in the sprint races. I have had:
14:05A 3pts win Steps @ 6/1 William Hill BOG
15:50A 2pts win Lady Gorgeous @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
Plus 1pt ew double the above two at the prices.
2.5pts win Hayley Turner top Shergar jockey @ 10/1 William Hill
Elsewhere:
17:05H 1pt ew Estrela @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG
18:45L 1.5pts win Rash Judgement @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
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14:05A 3pts win Steps @ 6/1 William Hill BOG
15:50A 2pts win Lady Gorgeous @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
Plus 1pt ew double the above two at the prices.
2.5pts win Hayley Turner top Shergar jockey @ 10/1 William Hill
Elsewhere:
17:05H 1pt ew Estrela @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG
18:45L 1.5pts win Rash Judgement @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
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Friday, 10 August 2012
Shergar Cup
Not everyone's cup of tea but the renewal is staged at Ascot tomorrow. The races, as you'd expect, are incredibly competitive. In the one race where there was a warm favourite - the stayers - we have an early non-runner: Western Prize which will be a blow to Take and the International team as this one could have gone off around 5/2.
Ireland has won the team prize for the last three years but this year Ireland and GB are amalgamated as one team represented by Murtagh, Fallon and Doyle. Looking at their rides and indeed their experience I don't understand why some bookmakers do not make them favourites for the team prize. I have therefore stepped in:
Shergar Cup team : 6pts win GB and Ireland @ 11/4 Coral (also available 888 and Blue Square)
It would not surprise me if the RP went for GB/Ireland so it may prove best to take the price now rather than wait until tomorrow.
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Ireland has won the team prize for the last three years but this year Ireland and GB are amalgamated as one team represented by Murtagh, Fallon and Doyle. Looking at their rides and indeed their experience I don't understand why some bookmakers do not make them favourites for the team prize. I have therefore stepped in:
Shergar Cup team : 6pts win GB and Ireland @ 11/4 Coral (also available 888 and Blue Square)
It would not surprise me if the RP went for GB/Ireland so it may prove best to take the price now rather than wait until tomorrow.
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Thursday, 9 August 2012
Thursday review/Athletics
No good today. Very disappointed with Buick in the Sandown race. Rode a terrible race IMO. Annoying because I could have made a case for the winner. Still can't get it right. Mind you, it won't be long before the 50th anniversary of my first ever bet. Not a lot of time, therefore, to get it right!
Olympics' medal markets have been a disaster. Apologies to all who got involved.
As for this evening I've had a punt on Blake to beat Bolt. Why? Well Blake has a better lane and has trained harder in the lead up to the Olympics which could make a difference in the 200m. I have had:
4pts win Blake for 200m @ 5.5 Betfair
Olympics' medal markets have been a disaster. Apologies to all who got involved.
As for this evening I've had a punt on Blake to beat Bolt. Why? Well Blake has a better lane and has trained harder in the lead up to the Olympics which could make a difference in the 200m. I have had:
4pts win Blake for 200m @ 5.5 Betfair
Thursday horses 2
Bets at Haydock today:
15:40H 1pt ew Another Wise Kid @ 10/1 Skybet
16:10H 0.75pt ew Five Star Junior @ 11/1 Bet365 BOG
And at Chepstow:
18:50C 2pts win Lucky Suit @ 13/2 William Hill BOG
Sandown selection put up last night is down to 3/1 (best) outright favourite for the 18:10
Total 5.5 plus last night's bet.
15:40H 1pt ew Another Wise Kid @ 10/1 Skybet
16:10H 0.75pt ew Five Star Junior @ 11/1 Bet365 BOG
And at Chepstow:
18:50C 2pts win Lucky Suit @ 13/2 William Hill BOG
Sandown selection put up last night is down to 3/1 (best) outright favourite for the 18:10
Total 5.5 plus last night's bet.
Wednesday, 8 August 2012
Thursday horses
Interesting cards tomorrow at Sandown, Chepstow and Haydock.
One early punt at Sandown where the 18:10 race is of interest:
18:10S 4pts win Santefisio @ 4/1 William Hill BOG
More action tomorrow!
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One early punt at Sandown where the 18:10 race is of interest:
18:10S 4pts win Santefisio @ 4/1 William Hill BOG
More action tomorrow!
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Wednesday review
Huge staking day with 20.5 points laid out in total. Two non-runners (return 3.5 points). Two winners: Alkadi won 13/2 (advised @ 10/1, no non-runners in race makes a welcome change) and Masarah won 7/2 (advised @ 15/2, R4 40p = 9/2). Total return on day 31.0 points.
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Sent from my iPad
Wednesday horses 2
Very late substitution in the first at Newcastle:
14:10N 2pts win Out Of The Blocks @ 7/1 William Hill BOG
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14:10N 2pts win Out Of The Blocks @ 7/1 William Hill BOG
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Wednesday horses
Newcastle
14:10N 0.75pt ew Stand N Applaud @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
15:10N 0.5pt ew Tinzapeas @ 14/1 Coral
15:40N 0.5pt ew Musical Festival @ 25/1 Paddy Power BOG
15:40N 2pt win Last Destination @ 10/1 William Hill BOG
16:40N 3pts win Cross Of Lorraine @ 7/2 William Hill BOG
17:10N 3pts win Celestial Dawn @ 3/1 William Hill BOG
Above two in 1pt ew double, prices (7/2, 3/1) William Hill BOG
Pontefract
15:30P 1pt win Alkadi @ 10/1 Betfred BOG
17:00P 1pt win Desert Romance @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
Kempton
19:30K 3pts win Masarah @ 15/2 William Hill BOG
Plenty staked. 18.5 points to be precise.
14:10N 0.75pt ew Stand N Applaud @ 25/1 William Hill BOG
15:10N 0.5pt ew Tinzapeas @ 14/1 Coral
15:40N 0.5pt ew Musical Festival @ 25/1 Paddy Power BOG
15:40N 2pt win Last Destination @ 10/1 William Hill BOG
16:40N 3pts win Cross Of Lorraine @ 7/2 William Hill BOG
17:10N 3pts win Celestial Dawn @ 3/1 William Hill BOG
Above two in 1pt ew double, prices (7/2, 3/1) William Hill BOG
Pontefract
15:30P 1pt win Alkadi @ 10/1 Betfred BOG
17:00P 1pt win Desert Romance @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
Kempton
19:30K 3pts win Masarah @ 15/2 William Hill BOG
Plenty staked. 18.5 points to be precise.
Tuesday, 7 August 2012
Ripon 19:35
As promised further bets in this race. Somewhat speculative but when the ground has a touch of give in it the low numbers sometimes move over to the far rail in sprints. Problem is the cut off for this happening is around 14 runners. There are 14 runners as I write:
19:35R 0.75pt win Solemn @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG
19:35R 0.75pt win Best Trip @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG
(check betfair for possible higher odds)
Solemn
Best Trip
Bosun Breese
Excel Bolt
12 x 0.3pt combination forecasts (3.6pts)
24 x 0.1pt combination tricasts (2.4pts)
Total 7.5 points
19:35R 0.75pt win Solemn @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG
19:35R 0.75pt win Best Trip @ 25/1 Bet365 BOG
(check betfair for possible higher odds)
Solemn
Best Trip
Bosun Breese
Excel Bolt
12 x 0.3pt combination forecasts (3.6pts)
24 x 0.1pt combination tricasts (2.4pts)
Total 7.5 points
Tuesday horses 4
Tax Free non-runner so following is replacement bet:
19:35R 2pts win Bosun Breese @ 19/2 William Hill BOG
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19:35R 2pts win Bosun Breese @ 19/2 William Hill BOG
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Tuesday horses 3
Further bets:
18:35R 2pts win Our Diane @ 7/2 Paddy Power BOG
15:30B 2pts win Griffin Point @ 3/1 Skybet
16:00B 1pt win Whitecrest @ 7/1 William Hill BOG
19:35R 2.5pts win Tax Free @ 8/1 Betfred BOG
Further bets later in the 19:35R
18:35R 2pts win Our Diane @ 7/2 Paddy Power BOG
15:30B 2pts win Griffin Point @ 3/1 Skybet
16:00B 1pt win Whitecrest @ 7/1 William Hill BOG
19:35R 2.5pts win Tax Free @ 8/1 Betfred BOG
Further bets later in the 19:35R
Tuesday horses 2
20:55K 1.5pt win 1pt place Demoiselle Bond @ 14/1 William Hill BOG
More to follow at Ripon and Bath.
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More to follow at Ripon and Bath.
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Tuesday horses
Interesting cards today at Kempton, Ripon and Bath. First bet is a mover in the market at Kempton:
20:25K 3pts win Elbe @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
More to follow.
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20:25K 3pts win Elbe @ 8/1 Paddy Power BOG
More to follow.
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Monday, 6 August 2012
Monday horses 2
In the absence of my selection in the 15:45:
15:45 1pt ew Beckermet @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
15:45 1pt ew Beckermet @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
Monday horses
Just a small interest at Ripon today:
14:45R 1pt win Tuimbama @ 9/2 Betfred BOG
15:45R 1pt win Doctor Parkes @ 11/1 Betfred BOG
0.5pt each-way double at prices.
Three points staked.
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14:45R 1pt win Tuimbama @ 9/2 Betfred BOG
15:45R 1pt win Doctor Parkes @ 11/1 Betfred BOG
0.5pt each-way double at prices.
Three points staked.
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Sunday, 5 August 2012
Sunday race
Difficult choices at Chester. Two selections in the first race only:
14:00C 3pts win Blue Clumber @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
14:00C 2pts win Sylvia Pankhurst @ 17/2 Stan James
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14:00C 3pts win Blue Clumber @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
14:00C 2pts win Sylvia Pankhurst @ 17/2 Stan James
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Saturday, 4 August 2012
Saturday horses
15:55G 1.5pt win 1pt place Elusive Prince @ 25/1 Stan James (1/4 odds 1,2,3,4,5)
15:55G 1pt win Victoire De Lyphar @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
16:15T 2.5pts win Solar Prince @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
16:15T 1pt win Henry Bee @ 11/2 William Hill BOG
15:05T 1pt win Rhagori Aur @ 12/1 Skybet
20:15H 1pt win Master Of Dance @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
Nine points invested.
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15:55G 1pt win Victoire De Lyphar @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
16:15T 2.5pts win Solar Prince @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
16:15T 1pt win Henry Bee @ 11/2 William Hill BOG
15:05T 1pt win Rhagori Aur @ 12/1 Skybet
20:15H 1pt win Master Of Dance @ 12/1 William Hill BOG
Nine points invested.
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Friday, 3 August 2012
Friday horses
Lads went 16/1 Angels briefly. Couldn't even get a fiver on though as it turns out it's Pricewise. Bets elsewhere, all William Hill BOG:
17:45T 1.5pts win Ryedale @ 12/1
18:10B 2pts win Jinker Noble @ 7/1
18:40B 2.5pts win Autocracy @ 11/2
Six points staked.
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17:45T 1.5pts win Ryedale @ 12/1
18:10B 2pts win Jinker Noble @ 7/1
18:40B 2.5pts win Autocracy @ 11/2
Six points staked.
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Thursday, 2 August 2012
Friday bets
Off to Wimbledon centre court tomorrow. All the singles' semis are on here except the one I already have money on - Maria v Maria which has been moved to court one. Not too bothered about that as have seen Pova playing a couple of times in Birmingham. MaKiri has a chance on her best form having taken care of Kvitova in straights today.
On centre Federer v Delpo is followed by Serena v Vika and then Mugray v Djoko. Williams sisters end the programme with a doubles against MaKiri and sourpuss Petrova.
First two look like going to the favourites but I think Mugray has a real chance of winning his semi with the crowd support behind him. H2H is 8-5 Djoko, but two of the Djoko wins were on clay. The Scot looks so fired up I think he's worth a play.
I have had 4pts @ 7/4 Mugray to beat Djoko with Paddy Power.
A couple of bets at Goodwood tomorrow following two heavily backed seconds at Nottingham today:
15:10G 2pts win 1pt place Swiftly Done @ 14/1 Betfred BOG
15:45G 1pt win Angels Will Fall @ 12/1 Paddy Power BOG
Might be further horse bets around 9am but that will be it for the day...
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On centre Federer v Delpo is followed by Serena v Vika and then Mugray v Djoko. Williams sisters end the programme with a doubles against MaKiri and sourpuss Petrova.
First two look like going to the favourites but I think Mugray has a real chance of winning his semi with the crowd support behind him. H2H is 8-5 Djoko, but two of the Djoko wins were on clay. The Scot looks so fired up I think he's worth a play.
I have had 4pts @ 7/4 Mugray to beat Djoko with Paddy Power.
A couple of bets at Goodwood tomorrow following two heavily backed seconds at Nottingham today:
15:10G 2pts win 1pt place Swiftly Done @ 14/1 Betfred BOG
15:45G 1pt win Angels Will Fall @ 12/1 Paddy Power BOG
Might be further horse bets around 9am but that will be it for the day...
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Thursday horses
15:05N 1pt win 0.5pt place Alpha Delta Whisky @ 14/1 Paddy Power BOG
17:15N 2pts win Sir George @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
3.5 pts staked
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17:15N 2pts win Sir George @ 8/1 William Hill BOG
3.5 pts staked
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Wednesday, 1 August 2012
Olympic tennis - ladies' singles
My each-way selections in the men's event are already on their way home so you may not wish to read any further.
Serena is now a very warm favourite to lift the ladies' title. However she makes the market conducive to each-way betting in the bottom half of the draw. This features Clijsters against Sharapova and Kvitova versus Kirilenko. The market will tell you the bottom semi will be Masha v Petra, however I thought Sharapova was very poor today. Lisicki should have beaten her. Pova served three double faults in ONE game to go a set and a break behind. Lisicki responded immediately with three double faults of her own to level the match (Tracey Austin - "A stunning come back by Sharapova", what tosh, I could have won that game if Lisicki had served me three double faults!).
Kim Clijsters has moved quietly through the draw and has not lost a set in reaching the quarter-final. She can be backed at 22/1 to win her penultimate tournament, Pova is no bigger than 11/2.
In the other match MaKiri has a winning H2H record against Kivitova and so is not completely out of it. My bets are:
3pts ew Kim Clijsters @ 22/1 with Totesport (1/3rd odds 1,2)
1pt ew Maria Kirilenko @ 66/1 with Paddy Power (1/3rd odds 1,2)
Eight points staked.
Don't be surprised to see a Pova v Kvitova semi-final!!
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Serena is now a very warm favourite to lift the ladies' title. However she makes the market conducive to each-way betting in the bottom half of the draw. This features Clijsters against Sharapova and Kvitova versus Kirilenko. The market will tell you the bottom semi will be Masha v Petra, however I thought Sharapova was very poor today. Lisicki should have beaten her. Pova served three double faults in ONE game to go a set and a break behind. Lisicki responded immediately with three double faults of her own to level the match (Tracey Austin - "A stunning come back by Sharapova", what tosh, I could have won that game if Lisicki had served me three double faults!).
Kim Clijsters has moved quietly through the draw and has not lost a set in reaching the quarter-final. She can be backed at 22/1 to win her penultimate tournament, Pova is no bigger than 11/2.
In the other match MaKiri has a winning H2H record against Kivitova and so is not completely out of it. My bets are:
3pts ew Kim Clijsters @ 22/1 with Totesport (1/3rd odds 1,2)
1pt ew Maria Kirilenko @ 66/1 with Paddy Power (1/3rd odds 1,2)
Eight points staked.
Don't be surprised to see a Pova v Kvitova semi-final!!
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Wednesday horses
Last race at Leicester, have been waiting for non-runners, however this is what I have now played:
20:45L 1.5pts win Saint Irene @12/1 Paddy Power BOG
20:45L 1.5pts win Source Of Light @ 11/1 Stan James
Three points staked.
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20:45L 1.5pts win Saint Irene @12/1 Paddy Power BOG
20:45L 1.5pts win Source Of Light @ 11/1 Stan James
Three points staked.
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